NBA Player Prop Picks for Saturday: Will KCP Make It Rain in the New Year?
NBA Player Prop Picks for Saturday: Will KCP Make It Rain in the New Year?
Betting basketball is one way to make any Saturday night better. It just is. Especially these days where Covid has literally gutted almost every roster in the league. We really have no idea who any of these teams are going to trot out each night which is kind of fun. One strategy I like to employ is to take guys who just got off the Covid list. You can't go back on the Covid list out of nowhere if you just got off of it (probably). For that reason, my guy tonight is worth a bet.
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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 2.5 Made Threes (+145)
Line Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing
This one can really be played anywhere. It's +142 at FanDuel and both DraftKings and Barstool have 2.5 for +140. That's not much different than the +145 BetMGM is hanging but obviously we always go with the best number. It's dumb not to.
KCP came off the Covid list the other night and looked like his normal shooting self. He's what I model my game after when I play pick up. Minus the defensive effort. Just hang around the three-point line and let it fly when you get the ball. There's nothing wrong with that and KCP has made a career of the style. With the Wizards roster where it is at the moment, KCP could let a few extra shots fly tonight.
Given the Wizards are down players (Dinwiddie, Bertans, Neto, Holiday, Harrell) I thought about taking his points over 12.5 but we're too smart for that. If KCP scores 13 points he will most likely hit three deep balls. In fact, the last seven times he's gone over 13 points he hit at least three three-balls. Plus the Wizards are at home tonight where KCP is shooting 45% from beyond the arc. All we need is for KCP to take six or seven threes tonight and I bet he gets home.
Article Author
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.