NBA Player Prop Pick for Wednesday: Martin With the Minutes Equals Money

NBA Player Prop Pick for Wednesday: Martin With the Minutes Equals Money

One thing I like to do is bet the last game of the night. It's smart actually. Because everyone knows you have to have cash on the first games, but they always forget that when those games are over, so is the action. It's sad. But, if you bet the last game of the night on top of betting the first games, it won't even matter if the guy in the first game covers early for you. No matter what, your night is going all the way to the end of the line. Genius move really.

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Caleb Martin Over 13.5 points (-105)

Line Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing

We're at Draftkings here but you could go to BetMGM as well. Both have the exact same number at the exact same price. I love when that happens. We'll have to wait on FanDuel and Barstool since neither has a number for Martin yet. It's still kind of early so we can't be too mad about it.

Let me tell you a little bit about the Miami Heat. These guys are hurt right about now. Jimmy Butler is out. Duncan Robinson is out. Bam Adebayo is out. Gabe Vincent is out. It's crazy. Still, they have to play the games with who they have which means we get discount prices on guys in larger roles than they normally have.

One guy that figures to take a few more shots tonight is Caleb Martin. I doubt he goes off but it's not crazy to think he could end up getting 15+ looks. Jimmy Butler is out which means 20+ shots are just up for grabs. Obviously, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, and Max Strus will take a few of them, but what about Martin? That guy likes to shoot too.

So far in two games in January, Martin has taken at least 13 shots per game and scored at least 15 points in each game. That's with Butler around hogging the ball all the time. Obviously, he won't be doing that tonight and the Heat have a great opponent for it.

Tonight, the Heat get the NBA's worst defensive team in terms of defensive efficiency. The Portland Trail Blazers. That team is also playing without their stars, Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. I bet the Heat drop 120+ on these guys and if they do, Martin will probably score at least 14 of them.

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