NBA Parlay Picks for Monday: Back the Big Moneyline Favorites

Another three-team money line parlay and two same-game parlays for today's list of NBA games from NBA expert, Adam Taylor.
Adam Taylor |
Mon, January 10, 10:45 AM EST | 6 min read
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NBA Parlay Picks for Monday: Back the Big Moneyline Favorites

Monday's NBA Parlay

I wanted to change course for the multi-team parlay's this week, but after a fairly successful 7 days, I've decided to stick to the course, which will allow us to get more adventurous on our same-game parlays.

NBA Parlay Odds: +136: (Risk $100 to win $136)

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NBA Parlay Breakdown

We're kicking the day off with the Milwaukee Bucks who will face the Charlotte Hornets later today. As we know, the Hornets are an incredibly talented offensive team but struggle to perform on the defensive end, in fairness, they are young and still developing that area of their game. However, the last team you want to face when you're leaking points is the Bucks, who despite their issues this season, has remained competitive. Sure, Milwaukee is without Jrue Holiday tonight, but whenever they can call upon Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton, they're a team to worry about! I get that the Hornets have their full roster available to them, but I have no idea how they intend to slow down Antetokounmpo still cover Middleton on the perimeter, while I feel confident the Bucks' 9th ranked defense will do a decent job of containing LaMelo Ball and Gordon Hayward. As such, we're backing Milwaukee to win outright, and for the Hornets to keep searching for a defensive formula that works.

The second team on our list is another NBA giant, who should easily be winning their game tonight. The Utah Jazz have won 8 of their last 10 games, but find themselves riding a two-game losing streak after losses to the Toronto Raptors and Indiana Pacers - both of which killed our parlays, I might add. Part of Utah's problem might be the fact that their core defensive center in Rudy Gobert is out due to health and safety protocols, along with Joe Ingles and Rudy Gay, but in their game tonight, against the Detroit Pistons, the Jazz face another team dealing with roster issues. The Pistons are designed to be bad this year, it's part of the rebuilding process. Still, losing 7 players to protocols is a big blow, even if only one of those players is a usual starter, but when that starter is your best offensive player, things get a little more tricky. For all the hype surrounding Cade Cunningham heading into the season, he's currently still in his adjustment period and can't be expected to spearhead an NBA offense just yet, so Jerami Grant missing games is painful for the Pistons. Sure, the Jazz are missing Gobert, but they still have Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchel to lead the line, which gives me confidence in backing them on the money line tonight.

Finally, we have the Philadelphia 76ers against the Houston Rockets - I know, we've backed the favorites across the board - but isn't that the point? Houston has won just once in their last 10 games, and only 11 times in 41 attempts, so we expect them to lose. Similar to the Pistons, the Rockets want to be bad, which is why John Wall isn't playing for them despite earning millions. The Sixers, on the other hand, are fighting for home-court advantage and doing so with the Ben Simmons saga still hanging over their head, although that's another story entirely. Philadelphia has won 7 of their last 10 games, have a top-10 offense, and sit 16th in defensive rating - they're a good, but not great, team and should have no problem dispatching a struggling Houston roster. We can point at some of the rotation players missing from both sides, but the fact is, Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid will both have enormous impacts in tonight's game, and the Rockets can't rely on anybody to give them similar levels of output. It would be negligent to do anything other than take the Sixers on the money line because the law of averages is in our corner on this one.

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Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers Same-Game Parlay

  • Celtics Moneyline
  • Jayson Tatum Over 26.5 Points
  • Robert Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds
  • Odds: +428

Click Here for Celtics vs Pacers Odds

If the Boston Celtics can replicate their performance from Saturday night when they face the Indiana Pacers later today, they should win this game comfortably. However, Celtics fans have been waiting for the team to string multiple good games together all season, and have been left disappointed as a result. But, Tatum isn't one to take criticism lightly, and following his back and forth with Kendrick Perkins on Twitter, will likely have a point to prove, and that's a dangerous thing for the Pacers, considering Tatum is capable of dropping 50 whenever he chooses.

Interestingly, we will see Robert Williams face off against Domontas Sabonis and Myles Turner, two centers many Celtics fans want to see sharing the court with Williams next season. From a form standpoint, neither roster has been consistent this year, and both look like they need to make some changes to get things back on track. However, Boston is almost at full health, and their entire starting five is health - something we can't say about the Pacers.

Indiana is without Malcolm Brogdon, TJ McConnell, and Caris LeVert tonight, which will severely hurt their perimeter creation. Boston currently sits 6th in defensive rating and continues to have games where they hold teams to under 100 points, and it's possible Indiana are their next victim. The Celtics biggest weakness this season is their transition defense, and without a true ball-handler to push the pace, the Pacers won't be able to take full advantage, as such, we're backing the Celtics on the money line, simply because health is wealth in this league - especially when it's your primary rotation who are missing.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Brooklyn Nets Same-Game Parlay

  • Nets -6
  • Under 240.5 Points
  • Odds: -114

Click Here for Trail Blazers vs Nets Odds

Neither the Portland Trail Blazers nor the Brooklyn Nets have submitted their injury report at the time of writing, but we can be sure that Portland's roster is nowhere near full strength. Yet, Portland is still finding ways to win games and has won 4 of their last 10 contests, despite missing CJ McCollum and a plethora of role players. But tonight, they face the Nets, and while they might not be in the best moment themselves, they're a tough opponent every night. In terms of records over the last 10 games, the Nets slightly edge Portland, having won 5 of their last 10, but in truth, the Nets should be better than this, especially considering the wealth of talent at their disposal. Sure, Joe Harris is likely to miss another game, and Kyrie Irving has played but once, but the Nets can lean on Kevin Durant and James Harden while having the likes of LaMarcus Aldridge and Blake Griffin come off the bench - it's a riches most teams could only dream about.

In terms of statistics, the Nets currently sit 9th for net rating as opposed to the Trail Blazers who sit 24th - there's value in that metric, as it incorporates both offensive and defensive efficiency, and shows the Nets are a more well-rounded unit. And when the records and numbers are so similar, that's what we have to go with - which team is more well-rounded. So, it's a tough call, but we're putting our money on the Nets to cover a -6 spread while expecting both teams to miss enough shots that the score doesn't exceed 241 points - seems fair, right? Let's hope so!

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Adam Taylor
@AdamTaylorNBA

Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.

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