NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Late Action on Claxton
NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Late Action on Claxton
We need some late action tonight in the NBA since we'll already be up watching the Georgia/Alabama game. That's just how this lifestyle works. Since that's the case, we have two games to choose from. We've got the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Sacramento Kings and the Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trail Blazers. Both games are deadly and should be looked at as targets, but I'm going Nets/Trail Blazers myself. It's hard to pass up a bet that has a zero percent chance of losing.
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Nicolas Claxton Over 9.5 Points (-104) (Bet $100 to Win $196)
Line Available at FanDuel at Time of Publishing
FanDuel has the best price on this guy so obviously. I went there. If you can't play there, it's fine, both DraftKings and BetMGM has 9.5 for -115. I'd call that playable. The only place I'm not seeing a line at the moment is Barstool so you may want to check there before you get down. I'm not sure how much better they could be but why not check?
Kyrie Irving is playing tonight for the Nets but I don't think that matters. This number is low enough that he can still go over without doing much. Between Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Irving, there aren't many shots to go around but Claxton is making it work. He's scored at least 10 points in each of his last seven games.
Claxton has been splitting time with LaMarcus Aldridge which complicates things in a way. Aldridge is listed as questionable tonight so he may not even play. Even if he does, I think we're fine because the Nets are playing the Portland Trail Blazers. Claxton should be able to dunk all over those guys.
Portland isn't terrible at defending the paint but they are far from good. They're giving up 47 points per game down there and that's where Claxton scores from. Jusuf Nurkic will be asked to stop Claxton and he just gave up 16 points to Alex Len last night and he's not even good. I honestly don't even know when the last time an opposing starting center didn't make it to 10 points against these guys. This feels right.
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
| Record Date | Wins | Losses | Push | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2021 | 24 | 15 | 0 | 25.23% |