NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Primo Night in New York
NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Primo Night in New York
Before you ask why we're betting NBA when the NCAA National Championship Game is on, relax. We can bet both. I've done it every year for a couple decades. It's actually perfect. More action is always better than less action. Everyone knows that. Luckily for us, there are seven games in the association tonight. We can afford to be picky. We don't just have to take whatever. What's even better, I found a guy who's game starts at 7:30pm ET. That's a full half hour of action before the Georgia/Alabama game. We're just living the dream!
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Joshua Primo Over 9.5 points (-120) (Bet $100 to Win $183)
Line Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing
I'm at DraftKings here because our options are limited. What can I say, the books are scared of this kid. Besides DraftKings, the only other shop I saw with a line on Primo is BetMGM. They have 9.5 for -125 so he's playable there too. As of publication, FanDuel and Barstool have nothing on Primo which is sad. The kid deserves a line.
Bad news first, Primo is on the injury report with a leg contusion. He's listed as probable so I'm guessing he's good to go. If he's too hurt to play, our bets will just cancel so no real concern there. If I had to guess, I'd say he's playing.
Here's the thing about the Spurs, they all have Covid. Well, not all of them but enough of them that Primo is starting. It's not like this kid is some scrub. He's a first round pick from Alabama so you know he's legit.
Going through his game log is pretty much worthless since he doesn't normally get time. So don't do that. Just look at what he did in the last two games that he started. He only took seven shots in the first one and scored nine points. Last night he took 16 shots which lead to 12 points.
The thing is, the kid took 16 shots last night. Seven of those shots came from behind the arc. If I had to guess, I'd say he takes at least 10 shots tonight given the Spurs Covid situation. If that happens, it's hard to imagine him not scoring at least 10 points. I think we should back the kid here.
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Article Author
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.