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Player props expert Josh Gayle has his eyes set on the Hawks vs. Timberwolves for his favorite bet on Wednesday night.
ANALYSIS

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction: Will D'Angelo Russell Have Ice in His Veins in Atlanta?

Click Here for Hawks vs. Timberwolves Odds

D’Angelo Russell Over 2.5 3PM (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

D-Lo has been a treat to watch this year. He’s been efficient dishing the ball, running the offense but most importantly for our bet tonight shooting the ball. He has been lights out from behind the long line lately. In his last 8 games, he is shooting over 44% from deep and on the season he is attempting 8.5 3PA a game. This prop of 3 or more has hit in 20 of his last 28 games. That’s good for over a 71% hit rate.

Let's talk about the matchup, Atlanta allows the 7th most 3-pointers made but more importantly the 6th most 3-pointers made to Point Guards. This game has a very high total of 235.5 and a close game spread so I expect plenty of points to go around for the big names in this game. D-Lo also averages 1.5 more 3-point attempts on the road than at home which is a positive sign considering this game is being played in Atlanta.

I have Russell between 3 or 4 made deep balls and either way that would suffice for our bet. I know -150 juice isn’t always everyone's favorite but as we always say “you only pay for juice if you lose” so let’s just decide to win this one, does that sound okay? Additionally, this prop has hit in 12 of his last 14 and the only two misses were against Dallas (#1 at preventing 3PM from PG’s) and Golden State (#7 at preventing 3PM from PG’s). When D-Lo has a good matchup he usually delivers. That should be the case again

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Over/Under Movement

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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