Wednesday's NBA Player Prop Pick from Beyond the Arc: Banking on Barton Buckets
Wednesday's NBA Player Prop Pick from Beyond the Arc: Banking on Barton Buckets
Welcome back to all my favorite OddsCheckerUS NBA people! We started the season in this 3-point column with Grayson Allen, but football became king, and we had to take a break. We continued the winning streak last night with Evan Fournier cruising over 2.5 3-pointers early in the 3rd quarter. Let's keep that going today.
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Will Barton 2+ 3PM (-170)
*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*
Different Ways I Would Play This:
- Add KCP 2+ 3PM for (+112) (Bet $100 to Win $112)
- Add KCP 10+ Points for (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120)
- Add Heat ML for (-103) (Bet $103 to Win $100)
- Add Bucks ML for (+112) (Bet $100 to Win $112)
So there are multiple ways to play these 3-point player props, but this is how I'm gonna attack these two players. Barton is sitting at o1.5 3PM -180, and while I do obviously like his odds to make 2, I don't love that -180. Parlaying that line with something you like, whether it be a heavy favorite moneyline or another player prop is a safer way to attack these markets without laying -180.
Let's start with Barton. Since coming back from injury he's gone 2-8 vs Utah, 2-2 vs LAL, and 4-6 vs POR from three, with the Portland and Lakers games both being blowouts where he played sub 25 minutes in both. He's gone over 1.5 3PM in 7 straight games and 15 of his last 19 games dating back to the beginning of December. In their last matchup, Barton went 2-9 from 3 scoring 17 points playing 36 minutes. This team desperately needs offensive production from guys not named Jokic, and we all know Barton loves to shoot. Additionally, The Clippers are top-12 in 3PM and Points to opposing SF’s, not worried about the matchup too much here.
Now let's move on to KCP, who's quietly having a very nice season with the Wizards. Pope has hit this number in 9 of his last 11 games and has been very consistent from beyond the arc. Guys that have safe floors are huge targets for me in this market, and the fact that Pope is almost guaranteed 6-7 attempts per game. He's shooting 38.2% from 3 this year, but has trended upwards shooting 40.0% at home and 39.3% over his L10. For points, KCP is averaging 11.6 on the season but that's improved to 13.4 over his last 10 games, not only has he been dependable, but he has looked much more comfortable from mid-range in the last month or so.
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