Friday's NBA Player Prop Pick from Beyond the Arc: Trust Patty Mills

Stuart Durst gives his favorite NBA 3-point Player Props
| 5 min read
Share
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

Friday's NBA Player Prop Pick from Beyond the Arc: Trust Patty Mills

Welcome back to all my favorite OddsChecker NBA people! We started the season in this 3-point column with Grayson Allen, but Football became king, and we had to take a break. We are currently 1-1 in this column, starting strong with Evan Fournier before losing with Will Barton, despite a 37 minute overtime game. Let's get back on the winning side with today's plays. 

Click here to see the best offers available in your state

 logo
Bet $5, Win $100 on the NBA in Virginia
  • Bet $5, Get $100
  • Promo Code WIN100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
T&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NBA Playoffs
  • NBA Playoff Exclusive
  • 30/1 odds
  • Boosted odds on your team winning!

Claim Your $150 Now
T&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now
T&Cs

Patty Mills o2.5 3PM -130 (Bet $130 to win $100)

Click Here for Nets vs Spurs Odds

Let's start with Patty Mills. After a nice run with San Antonio, Patty Mills decided to check out the big city and sign with the Nets. Since then, he's visited the Spurs once, going 3/12 from beyond the arc and cashing this number. I expect him to hit this number on any given night, but with all the emotional narratives of him returning back to where he once played, I think Patty will show up to play today. 

Patty Mills has really benefited from the absence of Kevin Durant over the last two games, playing 38 & 31 minutes going 3-8 and 5-7 in those games. In the 7 games that KD has missed this season, Patty has gone over this number in 6/7 averaging over 10 attempts per game. Mills is already 4th in the NBA in 3-pointers made, let's keep that up tonight. 

Longshot - Gabe Vincent 4+ 3PM +300 (Bet $100 to win $300)

Click here for Heat vs Hawks odds

Since Patty is gonna be a popular play today, I decided to throw in a longer-shot for us here. Vincent has thrived with Herro out of the lineup this season, and I expect the public to be off of him after one bad game. Without Herro on the season, Vincent has gone 1-6, 4-11, 7-12, 4-9. 4-8, 3-6, and 4-5 hitting this number (+300) in 5 of those 7 games. Butler being ejected last game actually hurt Vincent in my opinion, his passing/screening ability should set up plenty of opportunities for the shooter. Atlanta is also a great matchup giving up the second most 3PM to SG’s.

Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Win $200 on the MLB
  • Deposit $5 into your new DraftKings account
  • Bet on any MLB Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team wins

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

ROI 106%
NFLNBANCAAF
insightpicks

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.