
NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Let's Goga
NBA Player Prop Picks for Monday: Let's Goga
Do I want to do two player props from the same game? No. I like to mix it up a little. Maybe get some work in on the late game after hitting the early ones. Nobody likes to be done at 9:30 pm ET but we were given tonight's slate. We didn't make it. There is shady stuff going on in the early game (Mitch, Allen, Kemba) as well as the late game (Jazz could sit everyone). If there are plays to be made in either one of those games, they will come an hour before tip. That's just how this whole thing works. With that being said, I can't take a chance on not being able to play anything on those games. We need action and I think I found a way to guarantee we get it tonight. The only thing I won't gamble on is the ability to gamble.
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Goga Bitadze Over 12.5 Points (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)
*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*
I'm at DraftKings although FanDuel is at -124, Barstool has -127 and BetMGM is sitting at -125. At the end of the day, that's pretty much the same. We could have had close to even money earlier today but I sat on my hands waiting for news on Caris LeVert. We still don't know if that guy is playing so there is that.
Here's the thing about this guy, he's not afraid to shoot the ball. The kid has started the last two games, played 30+ minutes in both, and took at least 12 shots in both games. The more shots the better for obvious reasons. He finished with 13 and 16 in those games which is a good sign.
No matter what, this kid should play 30+ minutes again tonight. Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis are both out so that leaves only one guy big enough to run at the New Orleans Pelicans', Jonas Valanciunas. We lucked out there. You can't score if you're not on the floor (science).
One thing we have working for us is that Bitadze's numbers in the last two games may have been suppressed a little given opponents. The Warriors and Suns are not exactly ideal matchups for centers. The Pelicans on the other hand, are a little softer. We just saw my favorite player, Mitchell Robinson, light up Jonas for 17 and 15 last time out. I know it's Mitch but still. JaVale McGee broke them off for 13 points in only 18 minutes the game before.
There are a couple of ways to James Bond this kid at FanDuel for those that want to get up a little while they're getting down. You could either roll with 15+ points for +126 or a double-double for +195. It's all deadly from where I'm sitting.
Pelicans vs. Pacers Line Movement
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Article Author
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.