Utah Jazz vs. Phoenix Suns Player Prop Pick: Expect Chris Paul to Dish It Out in Utah

Player props expert Josh Gayle has his eyes set on the Jazz vs. Suns for his favorite bet on Wednesday night and has found a play that should be popular amongst everyone betting NBA player props.
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Utah Jazz vs. Phoenix Suns Player Prop Pick: Expect Chris Paul to Dish It Out in Utah

Chris Paul has been incredible this year at getting his teammates involved. He’s averaging 10.2 assists per game which is the best mark of anyone in the NBA. More importantly, he’s currently even outdoing his regular self with 52 assists in his last 4 games which is good for averaging 13 per night in this short span. Among those four games, the last one was against this same Utah defense. Just two nights ago this man put up 13 assists on 28 assist opportunities. If CP3 gets that many opportunities again I would hope his teammates could make 10/28 chances which is only 35%.

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Chris Paul Over 9.5 Assists (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*

If you were to just look up Utah's defense versus allowing assists it wouldn't tell the full story. They’re a completely different defensive identity with and without Gobert manning the paint. Typically you avoid assists overs against Utah like the plague but they’ve been much more prone without Gobert and not just in the last matchup against Paul. These are the players and assist totals against Utah when Gobert is sidelined this season.

  • Chris Paul - 13 AST (3 more than average)
  • Darius Garland - 14 AST (6 more than average)
  • Cade Cunningham 8 AST (3 more than average)
  • Lance Stephenson - 14 AST ( 11 more than average)
  • Fred Van Vleet - 10 AST (3 more than average)
  • Nikola Jokic - 11 AST (3 more than average)

In all 6 games versus Utah without Gobert, we have seen the primary ball-handler exceed their average in assists by 3 or more. Does that mean that CP3 is now a lock for 13 again? I wouldn’t say that but I definitely see value in 9.5 and think he’s good for double-digit dishes tonight.

Tonight's game with all of the injuries both teams are dealing with kind of evened out and led to a -1.5 spread. This is great news as I expect CP3 to play big minutes and hopefully see some fourth-quarter run in a close game. With these high assist props, it’s detrimental if a blowout occurs. The spread is very encouraging, the fact he did this two nights ago with ease is encouraging and Utah's lack of defense without Gobert makes it go over the top for me. It is a bit juiced at -130 but worth paying for most definitely!

Jazz vs. Suns Line Movement

ROI 5%

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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