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For the Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Clippers, I found a bet that could cash in the third quarter. I know that’s not nearly as fun but the books are disrespecting one of our favorite players today.

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction: Deandre Ayton Won't Leave Us Waitin'

Deandre Ayton 12 + PTS / 8+ REB (-140) (Bet $140 to win $100)

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I realize -140 is a good bit of juice but this is too much value to pass on. These numbers are so doable for the Phoenix big man. When Ayton plays 23+ minutes he has 12 or more points in 28 of 34 games. Ayton has 8+ rebounds in 26 of 34 games. Both legs have significant hit rates and the matchup couldn’t be much better. The Clippers allow the fourth-most points and eighth-most rebounds to opposing big men, neither stat should improve after tonight as I envision Ayton having his way.

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Ayton seems to love playing against Zubac. In nine games vs him, he is averaging 17.8 PPG and 10.4 RPG. I know what many people will look at this game spread and get scared off due to risk of a blowout. If a blowout happens I think this SGP has legs still.

12 PTS can be easily be obtained in three quarters and if it’s a blowout there must have been plenty of rebound opportunities throughout the first three quarters. 12 and eight for a guy averaging 16 and 10 is very in play in a blowout script.

I usually don’t buy into home/away splits too much but his stand out more than most. Ayton averages 17 and 11 at home this year which is a significant bump from his away stats. Tonight's game as you can guess is in Phoenix which should play into our hands.

Zubac should not be stretching the floor and now with Ibaka out of town, I don’t see a big on that roster who should pull Ayton away from the basket. Additionally, I’m not sure who is stopping him from six field goals if he logs 25+ minutes. This bet feels nice and safe and has upside to be an early second-half cash for us.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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