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We’ve written about this one before and it was a huge success. Tonight I see value with this one again and we are not going to deny the hand that feeds.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction: Heat Coming Out Hot Again

Miami Heat -1.5 first-quarter spread (-110) Bet $110 to win $100

Odds available at MGM at time of writing

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Miami always seems to open games well. They have outscored their opponents by exactly 50 points in the first quarters in the month of February and they have covered this first quarter spread in seven of their last eight games. Jimmy Butler is averaging 10.9 minutes in the first-quarter among his last 15 games. That is so key to our bet as Knicks could come out hot but Spoelstra's rotations could help Miami finish the quarter stronger as New York's second unit is getting punished by Butler and company.

Bet $1, Get $150 on the NBA New York most certainly isn’t a bad first-quarter team, I would argue it’s their best quarter but Miami is just another level. RJ Barrett remains questionable heading into this one Derrick Rose is doubtful. Kemba Walker has been shut down for the season so New York should be thin when it comes to ball handlers and Randle should have a tough time dealing with Adebayo. I just think Miami matches up really well with the Knicks and I like them to cover the complete game spread of -6 as well.

Click here for the best offers in your state Tyler Herro should be back tonight and should see the last 5 minutes of our bet or so. Miami last time out vs New York outscored them by 14 points in the 1st quarter. We just need Miami to lead here by 2, we’re not asking them to do rocket science. This is just one of those bets you don’t overthink, Miami is the better team, they’ve covered this 1st quarter spread in 7 of their last 8 and last time out vs the same team they’ve demolished them in the 1st quarter. Why would I believe this time should be any different? Give me the Heat again tonight to pay us once more.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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