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I'm guessing this will be a popular play amongst the betting community. With that being said, it will be for good reason and I would hate to miss out on the fun.

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Prediction: Jimmy Dimes > Jimmy Buckets

1u - Jimmy Butler o6.5 AST (-110) Bet $110 to Win $100

Odds available at DraftKings at time of writing.

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Butler has only hit this once in his last nine games. So why are we so confident that tonight he will distribute at a high clip? Simply put, Kyle Lowry is announced out. That information alone is why this number has shot up from his previous 4.5 numbers we’ve been seeing as of late. When Kyle Lowry sits Jimmy Butler nearly doubles his assist totals from 4.7 to 8.8 per game. Only needing 7 from a guy averaging 8.8 without him feels like a steal.

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Chicago does not scare me in the slightest. The Bulls have a scary offense but one of the league's least threatening defenses. Jimmy Butler has hit this prop in 5 of his last 6 games without Lowry and is averaging 9.3 assists per game in that span. Chicago has allowed a player to have 8+ assists vs them in 5 of their last 6 games and we only need 7. It’s likely to predict Jimmy should be Miamis leading dimer on Monday night.

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This game projects to stay close. Only a three-point spread with a 225.5 total are good signs we see Jimmy for heavy minutes with plenty of opportunities to pad those stats for us. My guess is that the official lineup will have Jimmy Butler listed as the starting point guard but even he isn’t I would imagine he takes top passing duties regardless of whatever positions they have people listed at. Chicago allows the 7th most assists to point guards. I really feel like this could move to 7.5 come tip-off so let's get on this one nice and early before this gets too juiced or the number shoots upon us.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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