Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: Fox Will Feast

Some nights I sit up for hours looking at props for hours and other nights they just stick out as no-brainers. This is one of those I refuse to overthink, this is good value and I'm going to take this, simple as that.
| 4 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: Fox Will Feast

De'Aaron Fox o5.5 AST (-130) Bet $130 to Win $100

Odds at Ceasars at time of publishing

De'Aaron Fox is a pretty inconsistent dimer but we have so many signs that point to this game being one of his better games at distributing. First off, the matchup is against the Oklahoma City Thunder, for those who don’t know they allow the most assists to point guards of all NBA teams. OKC in the past five games have allowed 11 dimes to Haliburton, 11 to Booker, 8 to Murray, 10 to Randle and 9 to Ayo. OKC just simply isn't a great defensive team, especially with Lu Dort remaining sidelined.

If you're in need of the best sportsbook promos available, you've come to the right place

Bet $5, Win $100 on the NBA in Virginia
  • Bet $5, Get $100
  • Promo Code WIN100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NBA Playoffs
  • NBA Playoff Exclusive
  • 30/1 odds
  • Boosted odds on your team winning!

Claim Your $150 Now
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now

Fox now doesn’t have to share PG duties with Haliburton which is a big plus for him. Sabonis is a very gifted passing big but Fox should see an increase as time goes on in the assist category. In the last game, Fox had 10 assists with 18 potential assists. If he sees another 18 potential assist game, I like the odds of converting one-third of those into actual assists for 6+ total. Fox is averaging 6.5 assists vs the Thunder in two meetings this season and that was with Haliburton.

Get a $1500 Free Bet on the NBA

Both of these teams are less than average so hopefully neither outstinks the other and this game remains close. The spread is currently -4.5 which is a good sign that Fox should see the minutes needed to hit this for us. Either Sabonis or Fox are hitting them over at 5.5 and I’m banking on Fox given OKC’s struggle specifically against the PG position. Fox has averaged 8.5 assists per game vs the Thunder in his career and we just need a measly 6. We don’t need him to be mistaken for John Stockton tonight, just get three each half and you’re a hero. What a realistic goal it is to make a ton of people happy, it would be selfish of him not to oblige. I really like this value and could see this getting way juiced throughout the day so lets get ahead while we can.

Click here for the best offers in your state

ROI 4%

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.