NBA Player Prop Pick From Beyond the Arc: Riding With Rui Hachimura
NBA Player Prop Pick From Beyond the Arc: Riding With Rui Hachimura
This is probably one of my favorite bets I've made this year. If you’re a follower of my work, then this play isn't gonna surprise you, but still stick around anyway! Rui Hachimura has been my most profitable player of the season, and probably ever for the NBA. Historically I’ve always been team quantity > efficiency when it comes to the 3-point market, but Rui Hachimura is slowly converting me.Â
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Let's take a look at how he's produced this season. Despite a late start due to mental health concerns, Rui is back and looks better than ever. While his minutes still aren't where I'd like them to be, he has been incredibly efficient this year. While he's only played 20 games this season, he's shooting 48.8% from beyond the arc (21-43), and that has only improved since the trade deadline. Over his last 7 games, he's gone 12-17 from three shooting over 70%, averaging over 22 minutes per game (including 10 minutes against Detroit due to ankle injury).Â
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I understand why this play has flown under the radar, if you're not watching the Wizards actively then it can be very easy to miss the improvement from the 7th man, playing 20-26 minutes per game. That being said, his shot looks immaculate and it's clear he not only has the green light every time he touches the ball, but Washington wants him to shoot it. Rui Hachimura 1+ 3 opens around -180/-200 every game and I will continue to play it every time w/ another leg to bring the juice down. He's hit in 18 of his 20 games this season, he may not continue that pace but I will continue to ride the wave.Â
How I'm playing Rui Hachimura 1+ 3PM
- 1.5u Rui Hachimura 1+ 3PM/Deni Avdija 4+ REB (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)
- 1u Rui Hachimura 1+ 3PM/Deni Avdija 1+ 3PM (+130) (Bet $100 to Win $130)
- 1u Rui Hachimura 1+ 3PM/Corey Kispert 1+ 3PM (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Let's talk about the auxiliary pieces. Deni Advija has at least 1 three in 13 of his last 16 games and continues to see volume. Deni has seen at least 28 minutes consistently in 4 of his last 5 games with his one miss being after playing only 23 on the second leg of a back-to-back. As for his rebounding, he just had 15 against Detroit last week and averages 5.2 on the season and 7 in the month of February. We’re also going with Corey Kispert, Rui’s Gonzaga teammate and rookie sharpshooter. Corey is averaging 1.9 3PM on 5.8 3PA hitting this number in 14 of his last 15 games. The rookie has seen 30 minutes in every game since the trade deadline and I expect that to continue.