Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons Prediction: Can We Trust Kyle Kuzma On The Glass?

We are back on a familiar play for us that worked last time at the same number. Sometimes the books just never learn and they are way too generous at giving us these gems.
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Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons Prediction: Can We Trust Kyle Kuzma On The Glass?

1u - Kyle Kuzma u9.5 REB (-110) Bet $110 to Win $100

*Odds Available at MGM at time of publishing* We are no stranger to this bet and I will gladly take it again. Kuzma has only achieved double-digit rebounds 5 times in his last 15 games and this isn’t a plus matchup for him. In both his games vs Detroit, he only had 7 boards. The logic behind why makes sense as he is primarily defending Grant or Bey who are threats from deep and will pull him away from the basket. He has those big rebounding games vs teams like Cleveland or Orlando who let you camp in the paint because they’re starting natural centers.

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Kuzma is a gifted rebounder but 9.5 is too high given the matchup and the history vs the Pistons. The starting power forward on the other team has failed to reach 10+ rebounds vs Detroit in nine straight games. Many of those players had multiple rebounds less than their season average. This game should remain close so I doubt a blowout will help us not have to sweat but this most definitely has value, especially with no juice at all. This number has been 8.5 since we’ve last bet it and has since risen again due to some favorable matchups for him, tonight that is not the case.

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In January Kuzma averaged 11.1 rebounds but he cooled down in February at 8.8 rebounds. I really think the January month was good fortune more than a sign of things to come. 8.8 is still very impressive but when it’s resulting in lines of 9.5 I will gladly hammer the under. Kuzma is a Flint Native and grew up a Pistons fan but he has never been much of a rebounding threat against them only averaging 6.6 rebounds vs them across his career. When Kuzma has played Detroit lately he has prioritized scoring the ball as he’s scored 23+ in both games vs them with a Wizards jersey on. 9.5 is simply too high, if he ends with 10+ we will live with it but every metric and statistic would suggest he ends with 9 or less.

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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