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You know the bet, I know the bet. This is the most fun wagon we’ve ever been a part of and I will continue to ride it gladly.
ANALYSIS

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction: Our Favorite Bet Returns

1u - Denver Nuggets Race To 15 PTS (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

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What more is there to say about this beautiful prop? It has done us so much good that not taking it every time feels disrespectful. When Nikola Jokic plays we have seen Denver win their first to 15 props in 22 of their last 25 games. A hit rate of 88% over that sample size is absolutely ludicrous. Tonight upon first glance are the big and bad Warriors but they will be resting their stars. No Curry, Klay, or Wiggins, and Draymond remains sidelined with injuries. Also, no Gary Payton which leaves them pretty thin at the guard spot. This is the B Team against our darling Nuggets, I have to take it.

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Golden State will more than likely start Moody, Poole, Kuminga, Porter, and Looney which doesn’t seem like a team that should be able to compete with Jokic and company by any means. I understand Denver is on the second leg of a back to back but if anything the fatigue will set in later in the game than to start off. -150 to some is so much but I definitely think that’s more than manageable and as we always say, it’s only paying juice if you lose. Due to the success of this bet, the juice has gotten higher with time but it has only failed us once and we’ve definitely played it double-digit times.

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This is a game that Golden State appears to be content losing and Denver is neck and neck with Dallas who play a tough Utah team today. I’m hoping for no late scratches for Denver and they are motivated to take over the 5 seed in the West. Unfortunately, if you try to wait last second to place this bet in hopes of making sure no late scratches happen I think the odds will jump on you and this bet will settle in the -170’s or -180’s and that’s just too much juice in my opinion unless you pair it with something else. We all knew I was going to bet this, the last thing I’d want to do is disappoint.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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