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Josh Gayle was eagerly awaiting a prop today but it opened with too much juice for me. So he paired with what should be a lock to give us a play with great odds.
ANALYSIS

NBA Parlay for Saturday: Bobby Portis and a Moneyline Play

I was eagerly awaiting a prop today but it opened with too much juice for me. So I paired with what should be a lock to give us a play with great odds.

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1u - Bobby Portis o1.5 3PM + Jazz ML (-114)(Bet $114 to win $100)

When waiting for today's props I was eagerly waiting for Bobby Portis’s three point line. It opened at -180 and although I was happy it was 1.5 instead of 2.5 I just couldn’t make that a single play at that juice. So I found Utah's moneyline. I know they’re on a second leg of a back to back but how often do teams like Utah lose 2 games in a row? Not to mention, they play the struggling Kings who are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have failed to beat Utah this year in three tries.

So why do I like Portis so much? I mean for starters, he has hit this prop seven games in a row. In that span he is averaging three three points made per game. Golden State has a great defense but allows the seventh most three’s made to big men. Portis played against the Warriors once this season and made four. I like his chances to at least have half the performance as last time. This is juiced for good reason and will likely move to 2.5 at plus odds on all books. I would act fast.

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Jazz Moneyline just feels free. Maybe I’m a sucker adding that because they’re 3-0 vs Sacramento and rarely lose back-to-back games but I think it’s the perfect juice reducer. Where Utah excels the most is the Kings biggest defensive weaknesses. Players like Mitchell dominate Sacramento and the Kings will have their hands full with Gobert.

Overall, this is a bet where if either leg loses it’s a major upset. Bobby should see big minutes and have all the time in the world to hit his two threes he has been hitting so routinely. Utah’s spread has been moving up throughout the day leading me to believe we’re in for a Utah blowout over Sacramento that we won’t have to sweat out. I don’t usually play two leggers but this one feels right.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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