Monday's NBA Player Prop Pick From Beyond the Arc: Count on the Unicorn Kristaps Porzingis

Stuart Durst gives his favorite NBA Player Props for Monday night's action around the Association.
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Monday's NBA Player Prop Pick From Beyond the Arc: Count on the Unicorn Kristaps Porzingis

Despite the urge to write another PJ Washington article, we are moving on to another athletic stretch big today. This article is taking us to the Wizards vs Warriors game, in what might be a polarizing play. Porzingis is someone who has plenty of flaws and is in for a very interesting matchup tonight. Find out if we are riding the big man, or fading him in a tough matchup. 

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Kristaps Porzingis 3+ 3PM (+540) (Bet $100 to Win $540)

*Odds Available at FoxBet at Time of Publishing*

Let's talk about the matchup because traditionally the Warriors are not a fun matchup for opposing offenses. Since being traded to the Mavericks in 2019, he's played Warriors five times, hitting this number in 3 of 5 games. When they played earlier this year, Porzingis struggled from beyond the arc, going 1-7. Despite not cashing the ticket in that game, anytime a career 38.6% 3-point shooter gets 7 attempts, we know we're looking in the right direction. 

Additionally, I think that Draymond Green being back for this game is very good for this Player Prop. With Draymond playing, the Warriors are one of the best teams at mitigating points in the paint, which should encourage more outside shots. If there is one thing we know about Tingis Pingis, he doesn't love doing the dirty work down in the paint. It's likely that they will allow those outside shots, at the expense of the Wizards running their interior offense through Porzingis. 

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Since joining the Wizards, he's gone over 1.5 3PM and hit this number in 2 of 3 games, and 2.5 in 1 of 3 games, playing 21, 25, and 26 minutes. Despite a bad shooting game against the Lakers, it's been a mostly positive start for Porzingis in a Wizards uniform. I expect Porzingis to continue to see 5 or 6 attempts per game, and in a matchup where it's gonna be hard for him to score in the paint, I see him firing away from beyond the arc. Overall 1.5 is the safer play, and something I definitely have action on at -105, but +540 for an additional three is also huge value in this game.

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Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community.

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