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The books disrespected a great player in a great matchup. It’s our job to make them rethink their decisions, we do that here tonight in the Sacramento Kings and Chicago Bulls matchup with our eyes on Domantis Sabonis.
ANALYSIS

Sacramento Kings vs. Chicago Bulls Prediction: Domantas Sabonis Is the Focus

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Domantas Sabonis Over 34.5 PRA (-120) ($120 to win $100)

*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*

Sabonis is such a talent. What can’t he do? I mean he can’t prevent being traded, but on a basketball court, the guy is a jack of all trades. I like all of his numbers individually so I went with the rare PRA over. For those unfamiliar this stands for points rebounds and assists. 34.5 feels so low for the type of production he’s been giving and his history vs not the just the Bulls but Vucevic imparticular.

Sabonis has hit this prop in 7 of his 11 games as a King with one miss being a hook at 34. Although it’s a good hit rate that’s not the reason we are on this bet tonight. In my eyes it’s all about the matchup. Sabonis has hit this in 7 straight against the Bulls. One of those contests was with his new team this season when he had 38 vs them. Sabonis has also hit this in 5 straight vs Vucevic averaging 40.6 PRA in that span.

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This game projects close and I notice positive line movement in favor of Sacramento which leads me to think that they could actually upset Chicago tonight. Whether that’s the case or not I love the spread and the fact that Sabonis is well rested after his suspension. I’m expecting him to get back to his wizardry as soon as tipoff hits. If you don’t have PRA as an option I would bet .33u on each of his points, rebounds, and assists individually. I especially like his assists as Chicago allows the most assists to big men and Fox will have his hands full with Caruso back.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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