Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Prediction: Andre Drummond Doing What He Does Best

I really think the books just put this number out one too short. Honest mistakes happen every day and we won’t judge them for it but we will try to make some money off of it. Here's Josh Gayle's top NBA player prop for tonight's Grizzlies vs. Nets.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Prediction: Andre Drummond Doing What He Does Best

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Andre Drummond Over 8.5 REB (-120) (Bet $120 to win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing*

Drummond isn’t the player he once was but he can still rebound the basketball. He hasn’t been seeing large minutes but he has been making use of the time he has been getting. I expect him to match Adam's minutes tonight and maybe play 22-24. Most players only playing those minutes wouldn’t sniff 9+ rebounds but Andre is different. Since joining Brooklyn he is averaging 9.6 rebounds in just 21 minutes. If this man were to ever see a consistent 30+ minutes he would be back up to 14+ rebounds per game near the top of the league with Gobert and Jokic.

The matchup is what hooked me. Drummond is 2/2 vs Memphis with one of those games him exploding for 23 rebounds. He did so in minutes he won't recieving tonight with 43 minutes but even if you chop that in half that’s between 11 and 12. I really think Drummond is good for a rebound every 2 minutes or so so 20+ minutes should be double-digit rebounds. Only needing 9 in a game with small of a spread is a great value. Adams will not take Drummond away from the basket and with Ja being out hopefully that will translate into more missed shots by Memphis.

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This prop should have opened 9.5 all day so getting it at 8.5 is a steal. I will be conservative and play this at 1 Unit due to random benchings by Steve Nash but this is probably my favorite play of the day. Drummond has hit this prop versus Adams in 9 of his last 12 games so his career stats against him aren’t just manipulated by that one monster 23 rebound night. I really think Ja being out will hurt this Memphis offense and they will see fewer open looks. I’m locking this one in quick before it moves, if you’re reading this I suggest you do the same.

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ROI 4%

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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