Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: Visiting An Old Friend

It’s important to pay homage to people and things that have been done right by you. Tonight we are running our favorite bet of the year yet again. Here is Josh Gayle's prediction and pick for tonight's Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets game.
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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: Visiting An Old Friend

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1u - Nuggets First To 15 PTS (-125) (Bet $125 to Win $100)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

It’s rare to get this prop at this great of odds. Nuggets do faceoff though against the team with the best record in the NBA though. I truly feel like Denver being favored by 4 points as of now is a sign that some Suns players could rest. Phoenix is on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back which definitely hurts their chances as well. I figure the public will hammer Suns +4 right now so I don’t imagine this line moving on us until injury news pop up.

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Denver has been hitting this first to 15 for what feels like the full season. Denver is in the midst of a tight playoff race and should definitely be the hungrier team tonight. Suns are nine games ahead in the conference with nine games to go. It would take them losing every game and Memphis winning every game for them to have the same record. If I’m Monty Williams I wouldn't play my stars on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back with the 1 seed pretty much secured. If we see Booker and Ayton announced out we will have supreme value and this could bet could certainly hit even if they do suit up.

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The last time Denver played we didn’t take the first to 15 and we watched it hit without us, that’s a feeling I don’t want us to feel again tonight. This bet has hit for us much more often than not and I feel like it’s not done giving. Late in the year I will always put my money on the team that has the better incentive, forget who you think is the better team, and betting on the narrative late in the year has proven to be effective in recent years. I also see value in Nuggets -3 and think if Suns rest players that they could win by double digits.

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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