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Late in the year, you want your best player to have the ball as often as possible. That’s the logic we’re rolling with and I like our odds.

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction: Can Trae Young Dish It Tonight?

1u - Trae Young o9.5 AST (-125) (Bet $125 to Win $100)

*Odds available at Caesars at time of publishing*

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Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction

Trae Young is averaging 9.6 assists per game on the season and needs 10 for us tonight. He’s only 1/3 on this prop vs Cleveland this year but is still averaging nine assists per game vs them in those three contests. Cleveland without Jarrett Allen have struggled as a defense and have allowed the fourth-most assists to point guards since his injury. Players like Kyle Lowry, Cade Cunningham, and Russell Westbrook all average significantly fewer assists per game than Trae but have all hit double-digit assists vs Cleveland since Allen's injury.

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Atlanta still has something to play for which is something we look for this late into the season. The Hawks are nearly a lock to be in the play-in tournament but you know they would love to climb the seeds and only have to win one game as opposed to two. Atlanta may have played yesterday but they massacred Oklahoma City so Trae only had to play 29 minutes. I’m expecting a big-time assist night after he just scored 41 last night. We don’t normally see Trae have back-to-back really high-scoring games so we’re trusting the trends here as well as the matchup.

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This game projects to remain close and Trae has hit in 12 of his last 18 games. Trae Young averaged 19.1 assist opportunities per game in March which is two potential assists higher than his season average. He’s going to be dishing, just a matter of does it get the help that we need. Cleveland is really hurting without Allen and I think Trae can get us there. It’s not common to have a matchup between two teams that matter this much late in the regular season. I wouldn’t be surprised to see all of the bigger names in this game get some extended run as it’s a very crucial game for both clubs. This feels an assist short. I wouldn't play at 10.5 but I would still play double as a leg and pair it with a heavy favorite as another leg to bring down the juice.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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