Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: Can Jonas Valanciunas Be A Rebound Machine?

Los Angeles Clippers vs. New Orleans Pelicans prop pick and predictions. The books set a number too low and we take the over, a tale as old as time. Check out Josh's favorite play from this one.
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Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: Can Jonas Valanciunas Be A Rebound Machine?

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1.5u - Jonas Valanciunas o11.5 REB @ -135 (Bet $187.50 to win $150)

Odds available at Caesars at time of publishing

JoVal has been great this year, averaging 18.1 points and 11.6 rebounds. As for tonight, all we'll care about are those rebounds. He faces off against the Clippers, who he has games of 16,15 and 13 rebounds against. Tonight, all we need is 12 and he has hit in 3/3 games. Clippers allow the 7th most rebounds to centers so this is definitely a plus matchup for him. This should be 12.5 all day long and even there I might like it for 0.5u if it’s plus odds.

Valanciunas has averaged 13.6 rebounds per game vs. Zubac over their last 8 matchups. Recently, big men have also had big rebounding games vs. Los Angeles, such as Nikola Vucevic bringing in 14 rebounds two games ago against them. Both teams still have something to play for so I expect this game to remain close. This game could be a preview of a play-in tournament game and if that’s the case we might get a chance to run this back if it does us well.

Valanciunas has average 13.8 rebounds per game over his last 6 games and finds himself in a matchup he excels in and is projected plentiful minutes. This feels like the biggest no-brainer of the day so it is my top play of the day. I just don’t see how he doesn’t hit this unless it’s due to foul trouble or something silly. Vegas has this game as less than a 3 point game and when fighting for seeding I would expect the bigger names to play large minutes, I love this one.

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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