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This late in the season we see the books are the sharpest they’ve looked all year. To still get an edge it’s our best bet to take two alternate lines in a same-game parlay and get props we like at discounted rates.
ANALYSIS

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction: Trust This Nikola Vucevic and Giannis Antetokounmpo Discount

These are two legs here I absolutely love. The initial look was Giannis' rebounds today and I think over 12.5 is a fine bet but my gut tells me he really could end with 11 or 12. Giannis has games of 17, 16, and 12 rebounds against Chicago. He has a 2/3 hit rate for his original but for our adjusted line he is flawless thus far. As for Vooch he has games of 22, 19, and 19. That also has a 3/3 hit rate for us and is a great sign that he should be able to at least score 14+.

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1u - Nikola Vucevic 14+ PTS/Giannis Antetokounmpo 11+ REB (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

Vucevic has 14+ points in 15 of his last 16 with his only miss being last game vs Bam Adebayo. Brook Lopez/Bobby Portis shouldn’t be able to stop him the way Bam did, this leg feels safe. As for Giannis he has 11+ rebounds in 14 of his last 18 games and should play big minutes tonight in what should be a close game. I gave a quick look at Giannis double double and Bucks to win but Chicago’s a great home team and Milwaukee aren’t as good on the road, could certainly see Chicago stealing this one as 5 point underdogs.

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Both of these players are in competitive races for seeding and I would expect their coaches to play them both big minutes to better their team's chances of winning and getting the best possible seed in the playoffs. The hit rates of these props are so good and the game should be close and competitive, getting a discount on both could be the difference between cashing or not and hopefully it makes us look smart. Giannis has been a much more effective rebounder with Lopez in the starting lineup and Vooch has been a shoo-in for 14+, I really like this one.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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