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Our old friend has returned. 1st quarter player props have been notoriously very kind to us, we paired our favorite with the moneyline on the title favorites. Here's my best bet for Tuesday night's Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Game 2 matchup.
ANALYSIS

Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: Can Devin Booker Help the Suns Control This Series

DraftKings brought these beauties back. If you go under “Same-Game Parlay” and scroll all the way down under points you will find these. FanDuel also added them for the playoffs as single bets but I see Booker at 8.5 over there and I think there’s a real possibility he could end with 8 exactly. I’ll take the 10-point favorite to win at home instead of the extra Booker point. Let's get into why I love this one so much.

Suns vs. Pelicans Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

When: 10:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: TNT

Click Here for Suns vs Pelicans Odds

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Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Pick

1u - Devin Booker 8+ 1Q PTS / Suns ML (-110) (Bet $110 to win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

On first glance to someone who’s not familiar with the Suns rotation this could look crazy. Booker's points prop is set at 27.5 and if you divide that by four quarters that would only project him around 7 points a quarter which wouldn’t give us value. When you dive deeper though it’s phenomenal. Devin Booker doesn’t sit in the 1st quarter, he just doesn’t. Booker played the 2nd most 1st quarter minutes in the league this year only trailing Kevin Durant. He plays 11.4 minutes of the possible 12 on the season. The only times he would sit are rare foul trouble and never for conditioning or cold shooting. Booker averages 9.3 1Q PTS on the season, and in his last 10 games, he averages 11.5 1Q PTS. Including game 1 we have seen Devin play New Orleans five times and he has games of 10, 11, 11, 13 and 5. The game with 5 was the first meeting between these two teams and was within the first few games of the year where players were adjusting to the new ball.

Booker is such a great scorer to start games and I don’t see Phoenix losing to New Orleans at home as long as Zion is terrorizing all you can east buffets across New Orleans. This feels like one of those bets that people won’t even look at because how weird it is and that’s why I love it. Booker has hit this in 4/5 vs New Orleans and has been a microwave lately averaging nearly two made field goals more than this number across his last 10 games. If for whatever reason McCollum and Ingram come out blazing but Booker hits for us it has potential hedge potential but I don’t see us going that route. Lets roll!

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Suns vs. Pelicans Line Movement

Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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