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NBA playoffs always have sharper lines but there’s still value to be found in obscure markets. Here is my prediction and pick for the Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors game.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction: Back Our Favorite Bet With a Twist for Game 3

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Pick

1u - Nuggets Race To 10 PTS (-114) (Bet $114 to win $100)

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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

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The legendary bet we all love is Denver First To 15. I hate to modify such a thing of beauty but it makes too much sense to do so. I would say there’s a good chance that Curry comes off the bench again. Obviously, nothing is official as of this moment but with his props still remaining unavailable it gives me that feeling. In the two games where Curry came off the bench in this series, they were halfway into the 1st quarter. By changing the 15 to 10 for our bet we can almost ensure that this will be a shorthanded Warriors to start this game. There is no guarantee there that he doesn’t start but if he does come off the bench that gives us a huge edge.

Whether Steph starts or not I know that Jokic is favored to win the tipoff which is huge for this bet. Constantly being ahead of an extra possession in a race that could be won with four made field goals is a huge advantage. In both games of the series, we have seen Jokic win the tipoff and they have won the race to 10’s in both. 11-7 and 11-6 were the two outcomes so Denver has really been starting games on a great note. I expect the home crowd to get behind Denver and rally them early on.

This is quite possibly the last time we can bet Denver in a bet again and they’ve done so much good for us this year they deserve a farewell bet. If Curry plays I still give Denver the slightest of edges to get 10 first but if he rests the first 6 minutes I would think this bet should be closer to -150 than -114. Barstool had the best odds here but I don’t mind DraftKings having this at -120 either. I’ll keep this one nice and short, it’s a valuable line with the tipoff advantage and desperation of the team to not go down 0-3. I’m really happy with this play to wrap up the card. Let's do it!

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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