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Handicapper Brian Matthews is here with his top player prop picks and parlay for Sunday night's Western Conference Finals Game 3 between the Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks. He's eyeing a massive +1697 same-game parlay.
ANALYSIS

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3: The "Why Not?" +1697 Same Game Parlay

Let’s jump into a same-game parlay for tonight’s Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals series between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors hold a 2-0 lead, but the series shifts to Dallas tonight, who will host their first home game of the series.

I have identified five legs, that together add up to +1697 odds. I am putting 0.15u on this same game parlay. Let’s review the pieces and parts first.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 3 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: May 22, 2022

When: 9:00 PM ET

Where to Watch: TNT

Click Here for Warriors vs Mavericks Game 3 Odds

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3 Line Movement

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3 Same-Game Parlay (+1697) (Bet $100 to win $1697)

Leg 1 - Dorian Finney-Smith Over 5.5 rebounds (+100)

Dorian Finney-Smith is avg. 6.3 RPG versus the Warriors in 6 games, pulling down 9/2/9/3/7/8 boards in the 6 games. We're in good shape if he can hold the line on that 6.3 RPG average. With Bullock often stretched up to the wing, DFS has seen his rebound share increase.

Leg 2 - Steph Curry over 5.5 rebounds (-122)

Curry is averaging an eye-opening 7.8 RPG in six games versus the Mavericks this year (9/9/4/5/12/8). We need 6 from him tonight, and he has been crashing the glass recently. Curry has 7/12/8 rebounds over his last three games, so let’s hope this continues.

Leg 3 - Spencer Dinwiddie over 2.5 assists (-135)

Dinwiddie has gone over 2.5 assists in 3 of his 4 games versus the Warriors; recording 5/7/2/4 assists. Diving further into the numbers, Dinwiddie had 8 potential assists in Game 2 and 10 potential assists in Game 1. The potential assists are second on the team only to Luka Doncic in this series. We just need 3.

Leg 4 - Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 3PM (-154) OR Jordan Poole Over 1.5 3PM (-166)

Wiggins has gone over 1.5 3PM in 4 of 6 games versus the Mavericks. Including, 3+ 3PM in his last three games. The volume is there too, attempting 5/8/5 threes in his last 3 games (avg. 4.4 3pa over L10 games (5.2 3pa per game over his last 5 games). *Wiggins comes into this game with a slight ankle issue but is fully expected to play. If Wiggins’ ankle worries you, swap Jordan Poole over 1.5 3PM into that spot.

Leg 5 - Reggie Bullock over 2.5 3PM (-142)

Reggie Bullock has gone over 2.5 3PM in 2 of his last 3 games and 5 of his last 6 at home. His volume is ideal for someone you’re taking to go over on three-pointers. Bullock is averaging 7.6 three-point attempts per game over his last five. Let’s hope Reggie can get us the three 3PM we need. He’s shot 11/4/10/10 in threes in his last four games. Volume, volume, volume.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Born in Southern California, Brian lives and breathes sports.  He comes from a football family, with a number of family members who played professionally.  While Brian didn’t play professionally, he took his insights and dominated off the field. In fact, during the 2021 NFL season, his bets and parlays returned a whopping 117.84 units. Specializing in data analysis, Brian takes a unique approach to his NFL, NBA, and MLB bets. You can find him on Twitter at @the_bmatt.

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