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Player prop expert Gray Gutfreund has narrowed down his top NBA bet for Sunday's action. He has his eyes set on Andrew Wiggins and Jalen Brunson as the Warriors are set to battle the Dallas Mavericks in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.
ANALYSIS

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Same Game Parlay: Should We Go Back to Andrew Wiggins in Game 3?

The Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks are heading back to Dallas, where the Mavs will host Game 3 tonight. Despite a 42-point performance from Luka Doncic on Friday night, the Warriors still emerged with a win to take a 2-0 series lead. Golden State's balanced attack brought them a win, as five different Warriors scored at least 15 points.

Andrew Wiggins was among the Warriors' top contributors yet again, knocking down 3 three-pointers and finishing with 16 points. As the anchor in this Same Game Parlay, we'll be going right back to Wiggins tonight, as there is some fantastic value on the Golden State wing in Game 3.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 3 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: May 22, 2022

When: 9:00 PM ET

Where to Watch: TNT

Click Here for Warriors vs Mavericks Game 3 Odds

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3 Line Movement

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Same-Game Parlay (-122) (Bet $122 to win $100)

*Odds Available at FanDuel at Time of Publishing*

Leg 1: Andrew Wiggins 1+ Threes Made

Leg 2: Andrew Wiggins Under 19.5 Points

Let's start off our 3-leg parlay with these two Wiggins legs. They may seem counter-intuitive, but this pairing is the perfect middle-ground for Golden State's fourth option.

With Jordan Poole's late-season emergence and both of the Splash Brothers fully healthy, Wiggins has settled into the team's 4th-option role quite nicely. He's averaging 15.0 points per game and 1.7 threes made per game this postseason. And, he's knocked down a trey in every single game during this Warriors playoff run.

The former 1st-overall draft selection has only reached the 20-point mark once this postseason, too. So, he's cashed each of these two legs in 12 of his 13 games this postseason.

Now, let's look at all of the games where he shared the court with both Steph and Klay. Wiggs has played 34 games with the Splash Bros. And, he's finished with 1+ threes made and fewer than 20 points in 29 of these 34 games. He's averaging 2.0 3PM and 15.0 PPG across these games, which sets him up perfectly to get the job done for us with these two legs.

Leg 3: Jalen Brunson 2+ Assists

We needed a third leg to add to our Wiggins pairing, and Jalen Brunson to record a pair of assists just makes too much sense. He's appeared in 15 games this postseason, and he's finished with 2+ assists in all 15 games.

The Villanova product is averaging 3.6 assists on 7.5 potential assists per game in these playoffs. And, in the first two games of this series, Brunson averaged 4.5 assists on 7.5 potential assists. The Mavs guard's minutes are consistently in the mid-30s, which is plenty of playing time for him to continue racking up a few assists each night.

Brunson has 2+ assists in 87 of 94 games this season. But, when we only look at games where he'll see legitimate playing time, we get an even better hit rate on this line. He's finished with at least 2 dimes in 53 of 55 games when seeing 32+ minutes this season. I have him penciled in for 34-36 minutes in Game 3, so he shouldn't run into any issues tonight.

JB has also succeeded in this matchup quite a bit. He's tallied 4+ assists in every single game against the Warriors this season. Across Dallas's six meetings with Golden State, Brunson averages 4.5 APG in these games. Look for the Mavs' second option to remain consistent in Game 3.

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Article Author

NFLNBA

Gray is a massive New York sports fan, and is an NBA & NFL oracle. He’s a passionate writer with a strong background in statistics, and loves putting out player props! You can follow him on Twitter @PropBetGuru.

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