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Handicapper Brian Matthews is here with his top player prop picks and parlay for Friday night's Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. He's eyeing a massive +1003 same-game parlay.
ANALYSIS

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Game 6: The "Why Not" +1003 Same-Game Parlay

I’ve got an SGP I’m liking for tonight’s Game 6 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. We are not expected to get a lot of scoring tonight, with an implied point total of 202 pts, so I stuck with more of the non-scoring legs when constructing this.

Let’s walk through each of the legs and how we got to +1003 odds. Why not?

Celtics vs. Heat Game 6 Start Time and Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Click Here for Celtics vs Heat Game 6 Odds

Celtics vs. Heat Game 6 Line Movement

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Game 6 Same-Game Parlay (+1003) (Bet $100 to Win $1003)

Robert Williams Over 1.5 blocks (-184)

The “Time Lord” has now had at least 2 blocks in seven straight games, and his defensive impact has been felt in his time back from injury. I like Williams to stay aggressive on the defensive end and keep his streak of games with over 1.5 blocks alive in a game where they can close out the Heat.

Al Horford over 2.5 alt assists (-188)

This one is simple and sweet. Horford has had 3 or more assists in then straight games – yes ten. Give us Horford for some consistency. For something he has done in 10 straight games, these are pretty solid odds.

Marcus Smart 4+ assists (-440)

Smart has gone over 4 assists in 8 of his last 10 games. He is averaging 6.7 assists per game vs. Miami, and I expect that to continue tonight in a game where they can put away the Heat.

Jayson Tatum 6+ rebounds (-192)

Another model of consistency, Tatum has cleared 6 rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games. He averages 8 rebounds per game vs. the Heat and had 8 and 12 rebounds in his last two. Let’s welcome Mr. Tatum to the fold.

Jaylen Brown 3+ 3pm (-196)

I mentioned this the other day as a system play, and Brown went out and hit 5 threes in Game 5. He shoots the ball very well against the Heat, who are near the top in three-pointers allowed. Brown has 3 more three-pointers in 7 of his 8 games against the Heat this year.

Jimmy Butler over 4.5 alt rebounds (-340)

Jimmy Butler has been inconsistent scoring the basketball of late, but he has been consistent on the glass. Butler has 5 or more rebounds in 8 of his last 10 games. I expect Butler to be aggressive on the glass in an elimination game.

PJ Tucker over 3.5 alt rebounds (-550)

Tucker grabbed 11 rebounds in Game 5 against the Celtics and has gone over 5.5 rebounds in 3 of his last 5 games. He is starting tonight and has pulled in four or more rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games. In an elimination game, I expect Tucker to be hustling all over the floor.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Born in Southern California, Brian lives and breathes sports.  He comes from a football family, with a number of family members who played professionally.  While Brian didn’t play professionally, he took his insights and dominated off the field. In fact, during the 2021 NFL season, his bets and parlays returned a whopping 117.84 units. Specializing in data analysis, Brian takes a unique approach to his NFL, NBA, and MLB bets. You can find him on Twitter at @the_bmatt.

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