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The Thunder take on the Warriors tonight. Can the Warriors get hot early without Steph Curry? John Hyslop answers.
ANALYSIS

Warriors vs Thunder Prediction: Can the Warriors Get Hot Early Without Steph Curry?

The Golden State Warriors host the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.

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Warriors vs Thunder Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Monday, February 6, 2023
  • Start Time: 10:00 p.m. EST
  • Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Click here for Warriors vs Thunder odds

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

Golden State Warriors Team Total Under 60.5 *1st Half (+100) Bet $100 to collect $200 BetMGM has the best odds, click here to bet

We're going to BetMGM for this thing since they've got a number that's priced to move. If you can't go to BetMGM, then head over to Wynn because they have this same number but at a cost of -105. That's good enough for me since I'm sure the number will drop throughout today. By the time this thing tips off, I'd like to think we'll be looking at 59.5 or maybe even lower. Who really knows?

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Here's the thing about the Warriors, Steph Curry is out. Since this line came out, the total has dropped like a rock. Most places opened at 237.5 and now some shops have gone as low as 234.5. That's a drop so in situations like this, I like to look into the derivative markets. A lot of smart books have this same number for -115 or even higher. In my opinion, I like the even money when we see situations like this. Even if we're having to fade a team like the Golden State Warriors which feels kind of dumb.

I will say this though, I think we're in for a real butt squeezer here. If the Warriors don't get into the 60s, they will get damn close. They simply play too fast and simply shoot too well. It's just the way it is. Still, I think their second unit could blow this for them as we saw multiple times this season where they could only come up with 25 points in the second quarter of games Curry missed. There were also times when they didn't get home on this number against the Orlando Magic and Detroit Pistons. I'm just saying, I don't want to do this but I think our hands are tied given the number and price.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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