NBA Player Props Today: 3 Picks to Target on Friday (3/10)
NBA Player Props Today: 3 Picks to Target on Friday (3/10)
After a six-game Thursday NBA slate, we have six more games lined up tonight. We went 2-1 on our prop picks last night, and it's only right we pump out another winning night this evening.
I expect the league's best perimeter scorers and playmakers to be showcased on this Friday slate, so we'll be locking in on three different point guards tonight. Let's jump into tonight's picks!
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Friday, March 10 NBA Player Props
Damian Lillard Over 32.5 Points (-110) (Bet $110 to collect $210)
*Best Odds Available at BetMGM*
35.8 points per game since January 1st. 37.2 PPG since February 1st. Both of these marks lead the NBA by a wide margin. That's what Dame Dolla has been up to over the last couple of months. The 32-year-old guard is chasing a scoring title and a play-in tournament appearance for his Portland Trail Blazers and neither will come easy. But he draws a nice matchup tonight and should be able to continue his ridiculous scoring rampage.
Lillard has cashed this over in 17 of his last 25 games, averaging 37.8 PPG on a sky-high 36.7% usage rate, trailing only Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Anfernee Simons may return from his ankle injury tonight, but the opportunities should still be there for Dame. One of the big keys here is that Philly hasn't been able to contain opposing guards since trading away Matisse Thybulle (to Portland). Over their last four games, they've conceded 30+ points to Anthony Edwards and Tyrese Haliburton. They gave up 26 points to Jrue Holiday. And the Sixers allowed Kyrie and Luka to each drop 40+ points the same night. A Dame 40-ball could be in the works this evening.
SGP: Trae Young Over 23.5 Points + Dejounte Murray Over 2.5 Assists (-125) (Bet $125 to collect $225)
*Best Odds Available at DraftKings*
This SGP is a nice way to get a little discount on Trae Young's scoring total, bringing it down from 25.5 to 23.5. This has hit in 37 of 55 games that the two Atlanta guards have played together this season, good for a 67.3% hit rate.
When sharing the court, Trae is scoring 26.7 PPG, and Dejounte Murray is averaging 5.8 APG. This parlay has been a success in five of seven games since the All-Star break and in eight of their last 11 games. Plus, the Washington Wizards have failed to give Trae any trouble over the last two seasons.
The Oklahoma product has scored at least 25 points in five straight contests against Washington, including 31-point and 28-point performances in the last two weeks. The Wiz had no answer for Trae on Wednesday night when he shot 11-of-14 from the field, and with the Hawks battling for playoff seeding, a repeat performance tonight would not come as a surprise.
Fred VanVleet Over 7.5 Assists (-125) (Bet $125 to collect $225)
*Best Odds Available at FanDuel*
Fred VanVleet: the man of the people. In legendary fashion, FVV went on an f-bomb-riddled tirade critiquing the league's officiating after Wednesday's loss to the Clippers. It was awesome. So, it's only right we back Toronto's lead facilitator against the Lakers tonight.
The lifelong Toronto Raptor has been unlocked as a pick-and-roll ball handler since the trade deadline addition of big man Jakob Poeltl. Steady Freddy is averaging 9.5 assists per game since the trade. And he's reached this over in seven consecutive games.
Although the Lakers have been solid defensively, they are a pace-up spot for the slow-paced Raptors. While Toronto ranks 26th in Pace, the Lakers rank first, which should lead to more possessions than the Raps are accustomed to seeing in 48 minutes of basketball. LA is allowing the eighth most assists to opposing point guards, so look for VanVleet to continue diming up the new-look Toronto offense.