NBA Picks for Today: 3 Props to Lock In on Sunday (3/12)
NBA Picks for Today: 3 Props to Lock In on Sunday (3/12)
Sunday's action starts early with a 3:40 PM ET tip-off in Denver, Colorado, so let's not waste any time. The Nuggets are in a terrific bounce-back spot at home, while Bradley Beal and the Wizards are taking on the 76ers in Philadelphia at 6:00 PM ET.
Let's jump into today's picks!
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Sunday, March 12 NBA Player Props
SGP: Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists + Nuggets Win (-135) (Bet $135 to collect $235)
*Best Odds Available at DraftKings*
In puzzling fashion, the Denver Nuggets are coming off of losses against the Chicago Bulls and the San Antonio Spurs. I view today's home matchup with the Brooklyn Nets as a perfect get-right game for Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets.
Denver has the NBA's most lethal home-court advantage this season. They're 30-5 at home and a mind-boggling 29-3 when the Joker plays. This SGP has cashed in 26 of Jokic's 32 home games this season, good for an outstanding 81.3% hit rate.
Jokic is posting 11.1 assists per game at home and has finished with at least nine in 21 of his last 22 games at Ball Arena. The Nuggets had won 21 straight home games with the Joker in the lineup before Wednesday's catastrophe against the Bulls. This is an excellent buy-low on the reigning back-to-back MVP and the NBA's best home team.
Jamal Murray Over 20.5 Points (-110) (Bet $110 to collect $210)
*Best Odds Available at FanDuel*
If we're riding with the Joker, we may as well roll with his partner in crime, too. Jamal Murray, much like the rest of Denver's roster, has looked fantastic with the exception of Wednesday's home loss to Chicago.
Murray has reached this over in five of his last six games, where he's scored 22.3 PPG. And he's scored at least 21 points in 11 of his last 14 games. He's averaging 24.1 PPG on 19.2 field goal attempts and 9.1 three-point attempts during this stretch.
This is the best basketball we've seen from the Denver guard since his 2021 knee injury. In the 25 games before tearing his ACL, Murray averaged 23.9 PPG and ripped off 19 20-plus point performances. It's been a long two-year journey for the Kentucky product, but he's back, and there's plenty of value on this line.
Bradley Beal SGP (-125) (Bet $125 to collect $225)
*Best Odds Available at DraftKings*
Leg 1: Bradley Beal 5+ Assists
Leg 2: Bradley Beal 1+ Assists - 1st Quarter
Since returning from a brief two-game inactive stint, Bradley Beal has shown some legitimate playmaking chops. He's averaging 6.4 assists per game over his last 14 games, and he's cashed this SGP in 11 of these 14 contests.
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This play has been a success in 30 of Beal's 43 full games this season. He's recorded at least one first-quarter assist in 24 of his last 26 games, averaging 1.9 assists in 9.0 minutes.
And, dating back to last season, this has hit in four straight meetings with the Philadelphia 76ers. Beal should see 9-10 minutes of action in the first quarter today and around 36 minutes throughout the whole game. That should be plenty of time for him to continue his streak of five-assist performances.