Texas State Bobcats vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: Odds, Picks and Predictions

Expert handicapper Stephen Rodriguez gives us his picks for Friday's college basketball action
Stephen Rodriguez
Fri, February 28, 8:35 AM EST

BET OF THE DAY: (2u) Texas State Bobcats +1 @ -110

Texas State Bobcats @ UT Arlington Mavericks, 9:00 PM:

  • Texas State has won each of the last seven games following a home win. Stat courtesy of Statschecker.

The reason we’re backing Texas State

Texas State (19-10) stayed hot and picked up a fourth straight win taking down Georgia State 86-76. Five different Bobcats scored in double figures, including two players off the bench.

Senior Eric Terry led the way scoring 20 points on 7-of-10 shooting while fellow senior Nijal Pearson added a near double-double with 18 points, nine rebounds and three steals.

UT Arlington (13-16) snapped a three-game winning streak in ugly fashion, falling to Georgia Southern 81-61. The Mavericks were ice cold as they shot 31 percent from the field and 28 percent from three-point range.

Senior Jabari Narcis was the lone player to have a strong shooting night as he knocked down five three-pointers on 7-of-11 shooting. Senior Brian Warren came off the bench and added 13 points, four assists and three steals.

These teams met earlier this season in a nail bitter as UT Arlington edged out Texas State on the road 64-62. Texas State sits a game-and-a-half out of first place in the Sun Belt Standings and will need this win to close the gap.

Although the Mavericks have the slight edge at home this time around, after seeing them lay an egg in their last outing against Georgia Southern, I’m leaning towards the Bobcats to pull out the road win.

(1u)  Dayton Flyers -11 @ -110

Davidson Wildcats @ #4 Dayton Flyers, 7:00 PM:

  • Dayton has won four of the last five meetings with Davidson.
  • Davidson has the third worst ATS record in the A10 at (12-15).

The reason we’re backing Dayton

#4 Dayton (26-2) kept the wins coming as they recovered from a slow start and outlasted George Mason 62-55.

Arguably the nation’s best player Obi Toppin led the way as usual by scoring a game-high 19 points and seven rebounds. Junior Jalen Crutcher was the only other Flyer to score in double figures as he added 13 points, four rebounds and three assists.

Davidson (15-12) picked up a second straight win in a big way, blowing out La Salle 74-49.

Junior Kellan Grady carried the load shooting 7-of-12 from the field for 22 points. Senior Jon Axel Gudmundsson added 14 points, four assists, three rebounds and two steals.

Dayton has dominated the competition all season and held the edge in this match over the last five meetings. Although the spread is hefty, the Wildcats’ struggles ATS this season gives me enough reason to believe the Flyers will cover with no issues.

(1u) Monmouth +3.5 @ -110

Monmouth Hawks @ Rider Broncs, 8:00 PM:

  • Rider has the second worst ATS record in the MAAC at (1115-1), and Monmouth ranks third best at (15-12).

The reason we’re backing Monmouth

The Broncs and Hawks are two teams heading in completely opposite directions.

Monmouth (16-11) picked up a second consecutive win after pulling out the 89-78 victory over Quinnipiac. The Hawks were on point with five players scoring in double figures while shooting 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from three-point range.

Junior Ray Salnave got the job done on both ends of the floor by scoring a team-high 14 points with six assists, four rebounds and four steals. Juniors Deion Hammond and Melike Martin, as well as senior Louis Pillari, each added 12 points.

Rider (15-12) suffered a second straight loss, and have lost three of the last four, after falling hard to St. Peter’s 73-54. The Broncs couldn’t hit water if they fell out of a boat, shooting 35 percent from the field and 11 percent from three-point range.

Junior Dimencio Vaughn was the lone player to score in double figures after leading the team with 24 points, eight rebounds, four steals and three blocks.

Monmouth won the first matchup between these teams at home 90-84. The game was back and forth throughout until the Hawks pulled away late, and my expectation is a similar outing today. Based on how both teams have fared ATS this season, I like Monmouth to cover.

Stephen Rodriguez
TinoRodriguez__
Expert handicapper for both NBA and NCAAB with years of experience in the business
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
13
Losses
15
Push
0
ROI
-11.62%
0Betslip

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