I’m eyeing two games tonight where I think the road favorite has a distinct advantage. Let’s start in Miami where the Hurricanes will be without their best player in point guard Chris Lykes. Miami is winless in ACC play and enters this game having lost 5 of 6 games overall.
In comes Roy Williams’ North Carolina Tar Heels fresh off a one point gone victory over Notre Dame over the weekend to capture their first ACC victory North Carolina hasn’t been all that impressive so far this season either, failing to cover the spread in their last three games. This sure feels like a chance to build some momentum for the Tar Heels though, against a short handed Miami roster. Both of these teams have played three straight games decided in the final minute.
I suspect the Tar Heels take advantage of their frontcourt advantage behind Garrison Brooks and Armando Bacot en route to a fairly comfortable victory in this spot. I’ll lay 3 points with the road favorite in Coral Gables.
Play: North Carolina -3 (-120).
Most seasons, taking short road favorites in college basketball feels like an obvious trap. Without raucous campus crowds or much semblance of normalcy in 2021 though, I’m far more inclined to grab the superior team despite the travel.
Much like the aforementioned North Carolina game, I just think Missouri has far too many weapons for Mississippi State. The Tigers enter this one at 7-1 overall with their only loss coming at the hands of what may be the best SEC team in Tennessee. The Bulldogs meanwhile are 6-4 and coming off their most impressive outing of the season, a double-overtime home loss to a disappointing Kentucky team.
I think Missouri coach Cuonzo Martin will have his guys ready to play against a Mississippi State team that swept the season series last year. Expect big games out of Xavier Pinson and Mark Smith in this one. Give me the Tigers and lay the 2.5 on the road.
Play: Missouri -2.5 (-110).