The mid major play of the day is the 7-6 (8-5 ATS) Milwaukee Panthers at home against the 9-8 (7-8-1 ATS) Northern Kentucky Norse.
The Norse come in winning their last 4 games. However, if you take a closer look, you will notice those games came against lack luster competition and 2 of those games were at home. Also, the Norse are 2-5 straight up on the road this year. Their first two road wins came at the end of January against the worst team in the Horizon league, Robert Morris. So in my eyes, they have not beaten any real competition on the road.
Milwaukee is ranked 246th on offense and 207th on defense according to KenPom. NKU is ranked 188th and 286th. A key stat for me is Milwaukee’s 2 point %. Milwaukee is 126th in 2 point % while NKU is 200th defending the 2 point shot. Another key stat is turnover %. Milwaukee has a low turnover % and is ranked 40th in the country. NKU turns the ball over a lot and is ranked 221st in this category. My final key stat is free throw %. Milwaukee ranks 41st while NKU ranks 221st.
I expect NKU’s road woes to continue and for Milwaukee’s do-it-all Senior Guard Te’Jon Lucas to lead the Panthers to a victory tonight. Best of luck!
NCAAB Expert Picks
UW Milwaukee ML @ -116