The play of the day is the 15-5 (12-7-1 ATS) Alabama Crimson Tide on the road against the 5-7 (5-7 ATS) South Carolina Gamecocks. Both teams have lost 2 of their last 3 games. Alabama’s losses have been tight road losses against good teams in Missouri and Oklahoma. South Carolina’s recent losses have been double digit losses to Vanderbilt on the road and Mississippi State at home.
Alabama is ranked 32nd on offense and 2nd on defense per KenPom. South Carolina is ranked 99th on offense and 76th on defense. A key stat for me in this game is 3 point shooting. Alabama ranks 90th shooting the 3 and South Carolina ranks 208th defending the 3. Also, Alabama should hold an edge on the boards. Alabama averages 40.6 rebounds per game while South Carolina averages 37.3.
I expect a big bounce back from Alabama in this game. They looked horrible last time out against a top 10 Missouri team and still almost won the game. Alabama will fix their shooting woes against this so-so South Carolina defense tonight and coast to a double digit victory. Roll Tide!
The Pick: Alabama -6 @ -110
The 7-8 Nittany Lions travel to Lansing looking for a road victory over the 9-7 Spartans. It has been a rough season for both these squads. The Spartans are 3-7 in conference play, with two of those wins coming against bottom feeder Nebraska. Penn state has won 4 out of their last 6. Penn State cant afford to lose a game if they want any hope of making the tournament. The Nittany Lions are going to get after the Spartans, who have been miserable offensively. PSU will be all over the glass and will create a lot of problems for the MSU. Penn State is honestly the better team here. Give me the Nittany Lions on the road.
The Pick: Penn State +3 @ -110
NCAAB Expert Picks
Alabama -6 @ -110 (Click to bet)
Penn State +3 @ -110 (Click to bet)