The Virgnia Cavaliers travel to Tallahassee looking to steal a road win against ACC rival, Flroida State Seminoles. The Cavs sit atop the ACC standings with an 11-1 record, right in front of the Seminoles with a 7-2 record. This should be a great matchup and a fun one to watch. Virginia enters on a 4 game win streak while Florida State is coming off a very ugly win in OT against bottom feeder, Wake Forest.
Virginia has not looked the best in some of their recent wins and are well overdue for a loss. I expect Leonard Hamilton to have his Florida State squad ready to go, looking to take down the top team in the ACC on their home floor. Virginia will slow this game down a ton, which will be new for Florida State. The Seminoles are tough to beat in Tallahassee, where they’ve won 23 consecutive home games. Give me the Noles in a close hard fought game.
The Pick: Florida State -1.5 @ -110
The mid major play of the day is the 16-5 Eastern Kentucky Colonels on the road against the 3-19 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles. Eastern Kentucky has won 4 of their last 5 road games. The lone loss came against the best team in their conference, Belmont. Tennessee Tech won their last game. However, they had lost the previous 6 games.
Eastern Kentucky is ranked 208th on offense and 143rd on defense per KenPom. Tennessee Tech is ranked 302nd on offense and 315th on defense. A key stat for Eastern Kentucky is shooting. The Colonels rank 155th in 3 point % while Tennessee Tech ranks 236th defending the 3. Eastern Kentucky ranks 169th in overall effective FG % while Tennessee Tech ranks 319th defending. My final key stat is turnover %. Eastern Kentucky ranks 7th in forcing turnovers. Tennessee Tech turns the ball over a lot ranking 325th in turnover %.
Eastern Kentucky -7.5 is a chalky pick, but I believe it is the right pick. The Colonels have already beat the Golden Eagles this year by 10 points at home and put up 90 points. I expect another big scoring night from Eastern Kentucky and double digit win. Best of luck!
The Pick: Eastern Kentucky -7.5 @ -110
NCAAB Expert Picks
Florida State -1.5 @ -110 (Click to bet)
Eastern Kentucky -7.5 @ -110 (Click to bet)