The mid major play of the day is the 12-5 (9-7 ATS) South Dakota State Jackrabbits on the road against the 11-9 (12-8 ATS) rival North Dakota State Bison. Both teams are in good form winning 3 of their last 5 games. These teams have contrasting styles of play. South Dakota State will try to outscore you. They average 80.7 PPG and allow 73.6 PPG. North Dakota State will try to slow it down. They average 67.6 PPG and allow 65.3 PPG
South Dakota State ranks 73rd on offense and 182nd on defense, per KenPom. North Dakota State ranks 201st on offense and 127th on defense. A key stat for me is South Dakota State’s shooting. The Jackrabbits rank 4th in 3 point shooting % while North Dakota state ranks 114th defending the 3. South Dakota State is ranked 28th in Effective FG % while North Dakota State is ranked 194th. Another key stat I like to focus on in games with a small spread is turnover %. South Dakota State takes care of the ball and ranks 49th in turnover %. North Dakota State can be careless with the ball at times and ranks 191st in turnover %.
In a classic battle of offense vs defense, I am going with the better offensive team to prevail. South Dakota State is shooting an amazing 40.7% from 3 on the year and they have scored 86 or more over their last 3 games. North Dakota State has only scored 80 or more points 3 times all year. Yes it is a rivalry game and yes it will be a close battle. However, I expect the Jackrabbits to hit some timely 3s in the 2nd half to pull away late and win this ball game. South Dakota State -1.5 is the play. Best of luck!
The Pick: South Dakota State -1.5 @ -110
NCAAB Expert Picks
South Dakota State -1.5 @ -110 (Click to bet)