My favorite play of the night is the 11-6 (8-9 ATS) Florida Gators +1 on the road against the 11-12 (10-11-2 ATS) Auburn Tigers. Auburn comes into this contest losing 4 of their last 5 games. The lone win coming on the road against bottom feeder Vanderbilt. Florida has won 3 of their last 5 games. One of which was an impressive road win in Morgantown against West Virginia. Also, Florida has been playing well in conference play and sit 4th in the SEC standings. A win could move the Gators up to a tie for 2nd in the SEC. Seeding is huge come Conference Tournament time and that time is right around the corner. It is also worth noting that Auburn is ineligible for post season play due to NCAA recruiting violations. This makes you wonder how focused these young players are with only a few games left in the season.
Florida ranks 37th on offense and 36th on defense, per KenPom. Auburn ranks 35th on offense and 107th on defense. The Gators should be able to take advantage inside. Florida ranks 77th in 2 point shooting %, while Auburn ranks 185th defending the 2. Florida ranks 65th in offense effective FG %, while Auburn ranks 92nd. Another stat I like to highlight is turnover %. Auburn turns the ball over a lot ranking 299th in turnover %. Florida ranks 91st in forcing turnovers. This could lead to a lot of easy baskets in transition for the Gators.
I like Florida to win this matchup outright. Florida is 10-0 on the year when they score 72 or more points and they should have no problem getting to that number Tuesday night. Auburn has let up 82 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. Also, you really have to think Florida will be way more focused in this matchup with SEC seeding and NCAA tournament hopes at stake for them. Take the Gators +1 and look for them to control this game and win outright. Best of luck!
The Pick: Florida +1 @ -110
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NCAAB Expert Picks
Florida +1 @ -110 (Click to bet)