Norfolk State ranks 203rd on offense and 219th on defense, per KenPom. Appalachian State ranks 228th on offense and 205th on defense. Norfolk State loves 2 things and those things are getting to the free throw line and shooting 3s. The Spartans rank 27th in Free Throws attempted per game. They also rank 32nd in 3 point %, while Appalachian State ranks 154th defending the 3. Norfolk State holds an overall edge on offense. The Spartans rank 188th in offense Effective FG %, while the Mountaineers rank 274th.
Appalachian State went on a miracle run to win the Sun Belt Conference. Two of those games went to overtime and their championship game was on March 8th. Their offense was hot during this stretch and they were lights out from behind the arc. I am very skeptical this hot shooting anomaly keeps up for the Mountaineers after a 10 day layoff. Norfolk State won their conference championship game on March 13th and have a more natural off time of only 5 days. They had the offense humming in their conference tournament games putting up 87 points in the semi finals and 71 in the championship. Back the more proven offensive unit in Norfolk State to cover the +3.5 and have a shot at an outright win
The Pick: Norfolk State +3.5 @ -108
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NCAAB Expert Picks
Norfolk State +3.5 @ -108 (Click To Bet)