March Madness Upset Predictions: First Round Underdog Parlay Picks

The only thing better than picking an underdog is betting on one outright. Check out Brian Good's Round 1 underdog parlay
Brian Good
Fri, March 19, 6:30 AM EDT

The only bigger rush than correctly picking a March Madness upset in your bracket is backing one of the underdogs on the moneyline and seeing them pull it off. So, in that spirit, I’m going to be identifying a few longshots I like for Thursday’s Round 1 games and seeing if I can parlay them together to hit something massive. Let’s take a look and get started.

3- Leg Parlay @ +12280 - $50 Wager Wins $6,114

Leg 1: Colgate ML @ +360

This is a popular pick for the first upset of the day and, while I usually like to fade the public, there are a bunch of good reasons to take Colgate to upset Arkansas on Day 1 of the NCAA Tournament. For starters, Colgate has won 13 straight games. They’re 14-1 on the year and outscored their opponents by an average of 17 points per game during the Patriot League Tournament.

Admitedly, they’ve played absolutely no one. But, they can shoot the lights out. They hit an insane 40% from 3-point range as a team, led by Jordan Burns and Jack Ferguson. They also score a ton of points as their 86.3 points per game rank second in the country. I like Colgate as the potential first upset of the day

Leg 2: Winthrop ML @ +235

I honestly thought I would be able to get better odds on this 12 vs. 5 upset but I think everyone realizes what I have known for a little while. This Villanova team is not great. They weren’t a great team when they had Collin Gillespie, and now that the player Jay Wright calls “the heart and soul” of this squad is out for the season, they’ve gotten even worse.

Since Gillespie went down, Nova has beaten a .500 Providence team by 2 and lost to Georgetown. Sure, the Hoyas went on a run and won the Big East, but Nova handled them easily in their two regular season meetings.

Winthrop has lost one game all season. They ran away with the Big South title and feature a lot of solid guard play. I see this as a game that Winthrop wins outright.

Leg 3: Morehead State ML @ +700

This is obviously the biggest longshot of the day, but we’re trying to hit it big here and this +700 leg is an important part of that.

Morehead State is an unlikely tournament team. Not because they don’t deserve it, they went 23-7 on the season, but because they beat a really good Belmont team in order to get here. West Virginia will be far and away the best team they’ve played this season, including lopsided losses to Ohio State and Kentucky, but I think they’re up to the challenge.

Johni Broome has been huge for Morehead State this year. He’s coming off a 27-point performance in the OVC Championship Game against Belmont and has been the team’s leading scorer. Traditionally, mid-major big men don’t produce well in March against Power 5 teams, but I like Broome’s matchup here against a West Virginia team that has won just one game so far in March.

NCAA Tournament Expert Picks

Leg 1: Colgate ML @ +360

Leg 2: Winthrop ML @ +235

Leg 3: Morehead State ML @ +700

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Brian Good
BeGood1219
Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for the all things sports gambling.
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
10
Losses
12
Push
0
ROI
-5.63%
0Betslip

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