March Madness First Round Picks
San Diego State is ranked 45th on offense and 10th on defense, per KenPom. Syracuse is ranked 20th on offense and 86th on defense. SDSU holds some major statistical advantages in this game. First off is shooting. The Aztecs rank 27th in 3 point shooting %. SDSU is also ranked 63rd in Offense Effective FG %. These stats are crucial when playing against the tough Syracuse zone defense because 3s and efficient shots is the recipe for success. SDSU also holds an advantage on the boards. The Aztecs are ranked 43rd in Defense Rebounding %, while Syracuse is ranked 339th in this category. Yes, this low ranking can be attributed to Syracuse playing a zone. However, the Aztecs rank 108th in Offense Rebounding % as well, so I expect them to generate plenty of 2nd chance looks.
Everyone is scared of a hot Jim Boeheim Syracuse team in March. I completely get it. However, this Syracuse team is not build like the previous Syracuse giant killers we have seen in the past. They are young and not very strong. San Diego State holds statistical advantages in 3 point shooting %, rebounding, and Defensive efficiency. Also, Syracuse is 3-8 away from home. I expect SDSU to win and cover the small spread Friday night. Best of Luck!
The Pick: San Diego State -3 @ -110
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NCAA Tournament Expert Picks
San Diego State -3 @ -110 (Click To Bet)