Odds format
United States
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
NCAA Tournament handicapper Brandon Hurley is back with his expert pick for Oral Roberts vs. Arkansas in the Sweet 16 round at March Madness

March Madness Sweet 16 Picks

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas ranks 38th on offense and 10th on defense, per KenPom. Oral Roberts ranks 66th on offense and 238th on defense. Arkansas has beaten 14 seed Colgate and 6 seed Texas Tech. Oral Roberts is the the biggest Cinderella team this year pulling off huge upsets over 2 seed Ohio State and 7 seed Florida. Unlike most NCAA Tournament games, we actually have a prior matchup to help analysis this game. Back in December, Arkansas beat Oral Roberts at home 87-76. Three big things stand out from this game for me. One, Arkansas out rebounded Oral Roberts 58-32. Two, Arkansas only shot 16.7% from 3 and managed to still win by 11. Three, Arkansas held leading scorer in the country Max Abmas to 11 points. If they can replicate this performance defensively and on the boards, they should have no problem covering the -11 point spread right? Well, Arkansas has some statistical advantages to back this theory up.

Arkansas statistically has a major advantage on the boards. Arkansas ranks 71st in Offense Rebounding % and 124th in Defense Rebounding %. Oral Roberts ranks 307th and 332nd in these categories. Oral Roberts has been dominating the turnover battle in their two upset wins with a 36-18 turnover margin. They shouldn’t have that same luxury against Arkansas because the Razorbacks take care of the ball ranking 81st in Offense Turnover %. Arkansas actually forces quite a few turnovers themselves ranking 83rd in Defense Turnover %. Oral Roberts ranks 175th in this category. Offensively, Arkansas should dominate inside. The Razorbacks rank 91st in 2 point shooting % while Oral Roberts ranks 173rd defending the 2.

Oral Roberts has been hot shooting this tournament, but I think that will change in this matchup. Oral Roberts hot shooting has came against the 81st and 42nd ranked defenses. Now they are jumping all the way up to face the 10th ranked Arkansas defense who has already seen them once before. Also, this Razorback defense has held Colgate’s 54th ranked offense to 68 points and Texas Tech’s 33rd ranked offense to 66 points. Everything on offense for Oral Roberts goes through Max Abmas and Kevin Obanor. I expect the great Razorback coach Eric Musselman to use these extra days to prepare a defensive game plan to neutralize these two. I expect this plan to have 6’6 guard Jalen Tate defending 6’1 Max Abmas like he did in their prior matchup where Abmas scored only 11 points. Also, you have to wonder about fatigue setting in for Oral Roberts. As previously mentioned, Abmas and Obanor do pretty much everything for this team and they have played 45 and 40 minutes each in their two tournament games.

The Pick: Arkansas -11 @ -110 (Click To Bet)

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Data

TeamPoint SpreadMoneyline
Oral Roberts+11+475

Our exclusive OddsChecker user betting data shows that many believe Oral Roberts surprising NCAA Tournament isn't over with the Tusla team accounting for 54% of bets against the spread and 71% of all moneyline wagers. That could be down to the Razorbacks -600 being prohibitive to ML wagers but regardless it shows that the public believe in the Golden Eagles.

Can UCLA beat Alabama? Read our picks now - Click Here

Bet $1, Win $100 on The Team of Your Choice

DraftKings have an incredible promo for the Sweet 16, they're giving new users +10000 odds (100/1) on any team of their choice. That means you can bet just $1 and turn it into $100 to pad your bankroll.

How you claim DraftKings' Bet $1, Win $100 March Mania promo

  1. To qualify for this offer you need to click this exclusive link
  2. Sign-up to DraftKings on the landing page
  3. Deposit $5+ into your DraftKings Sportsbook account
  4. Visit the sportsbook promos page and click 'BOOST THIS EVENT' which is next all of the upcoming March Madness games
  5. Once you've selected the team you want to win you will be issued a single use odds boost
  6. Apply your boost to the team you want to back in your betslip
  7. That's it! It takes a matter of minutes to claim this

T&C's apply. Max bet $1. 1 bet per user. Must be located in CO, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, or WV

You can see all of our March Madness promotions and free bet offers by clicking - HERE

Complete Sweet 16 Betting Preview

It's not just Brandon who has been on form for OddsChecker during March Madness. We have a crack team of NCAA experts who have been breaking down the bracket as we've progressed through the NCAA Tournament.

Our very own Jamie Kelton, Drew Martin and Adam Trigger take an indepth look at the complete Sweet 16 slate HERE. Don't miss on hearing what our professional handicappers are wagering on.

NCAA Tournament Expert Picks

Arkansas -11 @ -110 (Click To Bet)


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.