Florida State vs. Penn Prediction: Expect Struggles From Ivy League Teams
Florida State vs. Penn
- Point Spread: Florida State -19.5
- Total: 150.5
- Start Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Donald L. Tucker Center (Tallahassee, FL)
- Where to Watch: ACCN
Florida State vs. Penn Prediction
After the 2021-22 college basketball season kicked off with close to 200 games on yesterday’s schedule, Wednesday’s slate is much lighter, with just 28 games involving Division I teams. Just two ranked teams are in action, meaning tonight’s matchup between Penn and Florida State is arguably the most exciting game on the slate.
There is much unknown about all Ivy League teams entering this season, as the conference canceled all their games amid concerns over the coronavirus last year. While the Quakers are talented enough to win the league, they will be the true definition of a team that gets better as the season goes on. Nearly everyone in their starting lineup has not played competitive basketball for over two years. They have a conglomeration of players coming off knee surgeries or foot and wrist injuries from the last time they were eligible.
Penn has an Ivy League Player of the Year candidate in Jordan Dingle, who averaged 13.5 points per game as a freshman. However, they face the daunting task of replacing one of their best players over the last decade in big man AJ Brodeur.
Florida State is coming off a season in which they were a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament, who, along with Virginia on the four-seed line, were the highest-seeded ACC teams. The Seminoles are widely projected to be the second-best team in the conference behind the talented Duke Blue Devils.
By now, we should know exactly what we will get out of a Leonard Hamilton-coached team. The Seminoles will be long, athletic, go 11 or 12-deep, and be relentless with their full-court man-to-man pressure. How quickly Hamiton’s pair of five-star freshmen, Jalen Warley and Matthew Cleveland, get acclimated to Hamilton’s system will go a long way in determining how successful they will be early in the season.
The Quakers will not face any team all season nearly as long as the Seminoles are on the perimeter. So while one school of thought will say that their Ivy League five-out type of style will spread Florida State’s defense out, the flip side is that FSU’s long defenders will bother Penn’s shooters and challenge everything on the perimeter.
Penn has too many players with a lengthy injury history to believe in their chances of competing right out of the gate with a team capable of making a Sweet 16. Florida State is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as home favorites and should roll to an easy cover tonight.