Alcorn State vs Houston Prediction: Can Houston Win Big?

Jason Radowitz makes his pick for Alcorn State vs Houston. Can Houston cover the big number?
Jason Radowitz |
Mon, December 6, 10:23 AM EST | 4 min read
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Alcorn State vs Houston Prediction: Can Houston Win Big?

The American Athletic Conference is proving how dominant that conference can be if given the chance. In college football, Cincinnati is going to play in the College Football Playoff.

In college basketball, Houston is working its way up the rankings and looking for a second straight Final Four appearance this season.

The Cougars have dominated defensively and have an offense that has worked wonders around Marcus Sasser. At 7-1 on the season, Houston is having a fantastic start to the season. However, the Cougars will take on Alabama on the road after they welcome Alcorn State to town. Could this be a minor look-ahead spot?

Alcorn State vs Houston Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Monday, December 6, 2021

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: ESPN+

Alcorn State vs Houston Odds

INJURY REPORT

Alcorn State:

No Injuries Reported

Houston:

Out: G Ramon Walker Jr (Hand)

Alcorn State vs Houston Prediction

Those who know me, know I’m not the best at deciding whether or not a team can win by 33 points. At the end of the day, everything has to go right for a team to win at that price.

Houston could do everything you expect and then some and still only win by 31 points. You’d be completely right on your bet and still lose because winning by 33 points is extremely hard to reach.

However, the more I look into this game, the more I’m a believer. I think Houston can win this game by 40 or more.

Alcorn State is 1-6 on the season and has one of the worst offenses in the nation. That’s not a good thing going up against the top defense in the nation in Houston.

The Braves have a win over Milwaukee earlier this season but that’s about it. They’re shooting a 42.2 percent effective field goal percentage and have shot just 29.6 percent from downtown while only scoring 41.4 percent of shots inside on the year.

Alcorn State also struggles to get to the foul line at a high rate and will more than likely turn the ball over at a higher rate going up against Houston’s defense.

Houston, on the other hand, has an effective field goal percentage of 57.7 percent on offense and has limited turnovers while dominating the glass. The Cougars are shooting 39.4 percent from downtown and 56.8 percent from inside the arc.

Alcorn State is allowing teams to shoot 60 percent inside and has allowed an effective field goal percentage of 53.3 percent.

Houston is allowing just 54.5 points per game this season. If the Braves only reach 50 points in this game, Houston should be able to get the cover. Offenses are scoring quickly against Alcorn State’s defense. Houston could do the same. There’s no reason to slow things down just to slow things down.

The Cougars will get back on defense after scoring and then hold Alcorn State throughout most possessions.

Houston likely finishes the job here and earns the cover.

Alcorn State vs Houston Pick

Houston -32.5 (-110)

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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