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Lightning Locks takes a look at Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso and finds a point total that he has to smash.
ANALYSIS

Eastern Michigan vs. Valparaiso Best Bet: Hammering the Point Total

Eastern Michigan and Valparaiso are not your powerhouses in college basketball but we all know who Valparaiso is thanks to March Madness and the Drew family, of course. The Drews are gone -- first Homer left and Bryce Drew took over, but now he is at Grand Canyon doing a great job. Now, it's Matt Lottich running the show and he has this team playing offense decently. Last year, they averaged 72.3 points a game, and this year are doing even better at 73.5.

Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

When: December 20 - 7:00 PM

Where To Watch: ESPN+

Spread: Valparaiso (-8)

Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso Odds

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Eastern Michigan is no slouch on offense either, averaging 73.7, but defensively, all we can say is yikes as they give up 77.8 which is 332nd out of 357 Division 1 teams (WOW!). Two teams that score over 70 and two defenses that give up over 70 and we are looking at a game in the 140's tonight.

Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso Prediction

Valpo added Kobe King recently to their lineup and he has been playing great putting up 19 and 17 points in those two games giving them a huge addition on offense. We also can't forget this team has scored over 100 twice this year once with King and last game got 67 against the slow-paced Charlotte team which resulted in an over as well.

Eastern Michigan plays a fast-paced offense. We know this because they are 41st in the country in team-adjusted tempo and they have also scored over 100 and 90 in their last two games. Eastern Mich has been without their best player, Noah Farrakhan a few times this year but he is back and he leads the team in scoring with 17.1 a game. When Farrakhan plays they average seven more points per game.

We feel we are beating the adjustment that will be coming soon on these teams with King for Valpo and Farrakhan for Eastern Michigan. With both teams at full force, we are going to say they both break 70 and this game goes over 138 tonight. A few extra numbers Eastern has gone over in their last four as a dog, over on their last four on the road, and over their last nine after an ATS win (beat FIU last game ).

Valpo, as we mentioned, has broken 100 in two of their last five, and we feel their offense is finally clicking. Over gets you the money tonight in Indiana.

Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso Pick

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