Baylor vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Will Texas Tech Be the First Team to Beat Baylor?

Baylor vs. Texas Tech prediction and pick for Tuesday's college basketball. Handicapper Jason Radowitz breaks down the game and gives us his pick for this Big 12 showdown.
Jason Radowitz |
Tue, January 11, 11:45 AM EST | 4 min read
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Baylor vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Will Texas Tech Be the First Team to Beat Baylor?

It's no longer a thought. Baylor is the best team in the nation. Between last year's National Championship and this year's 15-0 start, Baylor just doesn't know how to lose.

Tonight, the Bears will be home but will welcome a tough opponent in the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Texas Tech is 11-3 on the year but proved themselves against Kansas on Saturday, winning 75-67.

Can Texas Tech put together two incredible wins back-to-back? Here are our picks and predictions for the Big 12 matchup between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Baylor Bears.

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Baylor vs. Texas Tech Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: ESPN2

Click Here for Baylor vs. Texas Tech Odds

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Injury Report

Texas Tech

Questionable: G Kevin McCullar (Undisclosed), G Sardaar Calhoun (Undisclosed) Out: G Terrence Shannon Jr. (Back), G Ethan Duncan (Undisclosed)

Baylor

Questionable: F Jeremy Sochan (Ankle) Out: G Langston Love (Knee)

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Over/Under Movement

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Prediction

If Texas Tech is going to knock off Baylor, it's going to be on the defensive end. The Red Raiders currently hold the number one ranking on KenPomn for adjusted efficiency on defense. Texas Tech is holding teams to a 45.6 percent effective field goal eprcentage while also forcing nearly 25 percent turnovers a game.

Furthermore, Texas Tech has limited offensive rebounds to 23.3 percent and conitnue to defend at a high rate, holding teams to 31.4 percent from behind the arc and 44.1 percent from inside the arc. Texas Tech just shut down Kansas and will look to do the same against another really good offense in Baylor. Baylor is shooting a 56.5 percent effective field goal percentage while erning over 39 percent of offensive rebounds.

While Baylor doesn't get to the line at a high rate, the Bears have been money from the field, shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 56.9 percent from inside the arc. The key here is for Texas Tech to limit fouls and limit the glass. Baylor feasts off misses but if Texas Tech can shut that down, the Red Raiders will be in great shape.

On the other hand, Baylor's defense is top 10 in the nation. The Bears are earning turnovers 26.1 percent of the time and are above average in every category defensively.

The Red Raiders, just like Baylor, dominate the offensive glass and earn 38.8 offensive rebounds. However, Texas Tech doesn't shoot it better, hitting just 33.4 percent from three and 56 percent from inside the arc. Texas Tech is able to get to the line at a higher pace, but it'll be interesting to see if Baylor can limit the fouling. Baylor has limited fouls more than Texas Tech has, however, Texas Tech draws more fouls than Baylor. So it'll be interesting to see how the whole fouling situation plays out.

Regardless, Texas Tech will turn the ball over at 20.3 percent of the time. That could be the difference in this game. Personally, I think Texas Tech sticks around, but I think the best bet for this game is the under 135.

Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick

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Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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