Oregon vs. USC Prediction: Are the Trojans Frauds?

Oregon vs. USC prediction and pick for Saturday's college basketball showdown in the Pac-12. Handicapper Jason Radowitz gives us his pick and lets us know if the Trojans are for real this season.
Jason Radowitz |
Sat, January 15, 8:51 AM EST | 10 min read
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Oregon vs. USC Prediction: Are the Trojans Frauds?

The USC Trojans started the season 13-0 before their first loss of the season to Stanford. After that loss, the Trojans struggled but finally took care of business against Oregan State on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Oregon Ducks have won four straight games and just knocked off UCLA, 84-81 in overtime. Oregon probably should've won that game in regulation, but let the lead slip away due to turnovers. At this point, which Pac-12 team can you trust more on Saturday night? Here are our picks and predictions for the Pac-12 matchup between the Oregon Ducks and the USC Trojans.

Click here for USC vs. Oregon odds

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Oregon vs. USC Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Saturday, January 15, 2022

Game Time: 11:00 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: FS1

Need the latest odds for Oregon vs. USC ? Click here

Oregon vs. USC Injury Report

Oregon

Questionable: F Lok Wur (Foot)

USC

No Injuries to Report

Oregon vs. USC Betting Line Movement

Oregon vs. USC Prediction

The Oregon Ducks really struggled early this season, with losses to BYU, Saint Mary's Houston, Arizona State, and Stanford. The Ducks have six losses on the season but have won five of their last six games with the lone loss coming against Baylor. I don't want to say Oregon is back, but at least the Ducks are playing competitive basketball again. The Ducks have shot an effective field goal percentage of 52.5 percent while turning the ball over 17.9 percent of the time. The Ducks are capable of earning second chances on the offensive glass, as they've been able to rebound 31.7 percent of their own missed shots. Oregon is shooting 35 percent from downtown and 52.5 percent from inside the arc. However, the Ducks have struggled at the line, only hitting 65 percent of foul shots this season. On the other hand, USC has been really good on the defensive end. The Trojans are holding opponents to a 42 percent effective field goal percentage and have limited opponents to 26.8 percent offensive rebounds. The Trojans have done a great job limiting fouls but it's also because they haven't been aggressive trying to force steals. USC only forces 14.9 percent of turnovers per game, which is very low for a team that great defensively. Still, opponents have only hit 40.5 percent of shots from inside and USC has also held opponents to 29.8 percent from downtown. So USC's defense is a tough team to beat on the offensive end. Oregon's defense isn't as hard. The Ducks have allowed a 51.2 percent effective field goal percentage while giving up 52.8 percent inside the arc. Teams have also shot 32.4 percent from deep and ultimately, USC should be able to have their way inside with many offensive rebounds. USC has hit 35 percent from long distance and 54 percent from inside the arc, however, the Trojans have also struggled from the foul line, only hitting 61.3 percent of foul shots. Still, USC is the more balanced team and at home, I'd expect the Trojans to shoot at a higher percentage and cover the 6.5 point spread.

Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans Pick

Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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