Colorado State vs. UNLV Prediction: Will Colorado State Rank Inside the Top 25 With a Win?

Colorado State vs. UNLV Prediction: Will Colorado State Rank Inside the Top 25 With a Win?
The Colorado State Rams are currently a quiet 16-1 on the year. Sitting at 6-1 in conference play, Colorado State is a huge favorite against the UNLV Runnin' Rebels tonight, at home. UNLV is just 11-9 on the year and continues to trade wins for losses in 2022. If that continues to be the case, however, UNLV would be in a position to win tonight's game. Can UNLV stop Colorado State's elite offense? Here are our picks and predictions for the Mountain West matchup between the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and the Colorado State Rams.
Colorado State vs. UNLV Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
Date: Friday, January 28
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET
Where to Watch: FS1
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Colorado State vs. UNLV Injury Report
UNLV
Questionable: G Josh Baker (Concussion), F Donovan Williams (Knee), F Royce Hamm Jr. (Illness), Marvin Coleman (Illness) Out: C James Hampshire (Shoulder)
Colorado State
Questionable: F Adam Thistlewood (Undisclosed)
Colorado State vs. UNLV Betting Line Movement
Colorado State vs. UNLV Prediction
The Colorado State Rams are one of the most effective offenses in the nation. The Rams shoot a 57.3 percent effective field goal percentage while only turning the ball over 15.3 percent of the time. The Rams have hit 38.2 percent of threes and 57.4 percent of shots inside the arc. On top of that, Colorado State is hitting nearly 80 percent of foul shots. So for any team, it can be hard to keep up offensively.
UNLV, on the other hand, is shooting a 48 percent effective field goal percentage while only earning 26.9 percent offensive rebounds. Right off the bat, it's pretty clear that neither team will dominate when it comes to second-chance opportunities, as Colorado State is only averaging 22.6 percent offensive rebounds. The Runnin' Rebels have hit just 31.6 percent from three and 48.3 percent from inside the arc on the year. UNLV should be able to limit turnovers but haven't shot all that well this season. UNLV likes to shoot a solid amount of threes per game, but Colorado State has been able to defend against the three well, allowing teams to shoot just 31.9 percent from deep.
The Rams are also great at limiting foul shots and destroying the defensive glass, allowing just 23.4 percent offensive rebounds per game. But there's reason to believe UNLV can stick around. If the Runnin' Rebels keep Colorado State off the offensive glass, I like the Rams' chances of at least covering the 13.5 spread. I'm not saying UNLV will win, but I do think they'll cover. 13.5 just seems like too many points for a conference game against a talented UNLV team that has underperformed this season.
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Colorado State Rams Pick
- UNLV +13.5 (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.